Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 15–19 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.3% 44.2–48.3% 43.7–48.9% 43.2–49.4% 42.2–50.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.1% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.5% 22.5–27.9% 21.7–28.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 165–176 164–177 162–179 160–182
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 61–70 59–71 58–72 56–75
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 23 20–26 19–27 19–28 18–30
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0.1% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
159 0.2% 99.8%  
160 0.4% 99.6%  
161 0.7% 99.2%  
162 1.3% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 4% 93%  
166 9% 89%  
167 10% 80%  
168 7% 69%  
169 10% 62%  
170 12% 52% Median
171 10% 40%  
172 7% 30%  
173 5% 24%  
174 5% 19%  
175 3% 14%  
176 4% 11%  
177 2% 7%  
178 1.4% 4%  
179 1.0% 3%  
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.4% 1.1%  
182 0.4% 0.7%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 0.9% 99.4%  
58 1.1% 98.5%  
59 3% 97%  
60 3% 94%  
61 3% 91%  
62 5% 88%  
63 6% 83%  
64 10% 78%  
65 10% 67%  
66 12% 58% Median
67 12% 46%  
68 14% 34%  
69 7% 20%  
70 7% 13%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.2%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.2% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 5% 98%  
20 6% 93%  
21 19% 88%  
22 16% 68% Last Result
23 12% 52% Median
24 21% 40%  
25 7% 19%  
26 5% 13%  
27 5% 7%  
28 1.1% 3%  
29 1.0% 2%  
30 0.4% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 4% 98%  
15 12% 93% Last Result
16 19% 81%  
17 16% 63% Median
18 17% 47%  
19 18% 30%  
20 6% 12%  
21 3% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.6% 0.8%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
11 4% 99.1%  
12 9% 95%  
13 15% 86%  
14 21% 71% Median
15 20% 49%  
16 13% 29%  
17 10% 16%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 9% 93%  
9 20% 84% Last Result
10 23% 64% Median
11 24% 41%  
12 10% 17%  
13 4% 7%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 191 100% 189–200 189–201 187–201 182–206
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 100% 165–176 164–177 162–179 160–182
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 76 0% 69–80 68–81 66–82 63–85
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 0% 61–70 59–71 58–72 56–75

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.3% 99.9%  
182 0.7% 99.6%  
183 0.7% 98.9%  
184 0.6% 98%  
185 0.1% 98%  
186 0% 98%  
187 0.2% 98%  
188 1.3% 97%  
189 7% 96%  
190 14% 89%  
191 27% 75%  
192 14% 48%  
193 9% 34% Median
194 2% 25%  
195 0.6% 23%  
196 2% 22%  
197 3% 20%  
198 4% 18%  
199 4% 14%  
200 5% 10%  
201 3% 5%  
202 0.9% 2%  
203 0.1% 1.4%  
204 0.2% 1.3%  
205 0.4% 1.1%  
206 0.4% 0.7%  
207 0.2% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
157 0.1% 100%  
158 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
159 0.2% 99.8%  
160 0.4% 99.6%  
161 0.7% 99.2%  
162 1.3% 98%  
163 2% 97%  
164 2% 95%  
165 4% 93%  
166 9% 89%  
167 10% 80%  
168 7% 69%  
169 10% 62%  
170 12% 52% Median
171 10% 40%  
172 7% 30%  
173 5% 24%  
174 5% 19%  
175 3% 14%  
176 4% 11%  
177 2% 7%  
178 1.4% 4%  
179 1.0% 3%  
180 0.6% 2%  
181 0.4% 1.1%  
182 0.4% 0.7%  
183 0.2% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.6% 99.3%  
65 0.3% 98.7%  
66 0.9% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 4% 93%  
70 4% 89%  
71 3% 86%  
72 5% 83%  
73 6% 78%  
74 8% 73%  
75 7% 65%  
76 13% 58% Median
77 13% 45%  
78 9% 31%  
79 10% 22%  
80 5% 12%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.8% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 0.9% 99.4%  
58 1.1% 98.5%  
59 3% 97%  
60 3% 94%  
61 3% 91%  
62 5% 88%  
63 6% 83%  
64 10% 78%  
65 10% 67%  
66 12% 58% Median
67 12% 46%  
68 14% 34%  
69 7% 20%  
70 7% 13%  
71 3% 6%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.4% 1.2%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations