Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 14–22 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.8% 39.8–43.8% 39.3–44.4% 38.8–44.9% 37.8–45.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.8% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 158–170 156–171 155–173 152–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 77–88 76–90 75–91 72–94
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–15 9–15 9–16 0–18
Ελληνική Λύση 10 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.3% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.5%  
154 0.7% 99.0%  
155 2% 98%  
156 3% 97%  
157 2% 93%  
158 6% 91% Last Result
159 9% 86%  
160 4% 77%  
161 7% 72%  
162 7% 65%  
163 8% 58%  
164 8% 51% Median
165 7% 43%  
166 10% 36%  
167 5% 26%  
168 4% 21%  
169 6% 17%  
170 3% 11%  
171 3% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 2% 3%  
174 0.8% 2%  
175 0.4% 0.9%  
176 0.2% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 1.1% 98.9%  
75 3% 98%  
76 2% 95%  
77 4% 93%  
78 6% 89%  
79 6% 83%  
80 11% 77%  
81 5% 66%  
82 7% 61%  
83 9% 54% Median
84 11% 45%  
85 9% 33%  
86 6% 24% Last Result
87 6% 18%  
88 4% 12%  
89 2% 8%  
90 3% 6%  
91 1.0% 3%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.8%  
15 4% 98.7%  
16 4% 95%  
17 6% 91%  
18 12% 86%  
19 23% 74%  
20 22% 51% Median
21 16% 29%  
22 6% 12% Last Result
23 3% 7%  
24 2% 4%  
25 1.1% 2%  
26 0.7% 0.8%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.6%  
13 8% 95%  
14 15% 87%  
15 20% 72% Last Result
16 16% 53% Median
17 15% 36%  
18 12% 21%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 4%  
21 1.2% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 0.4% 99.4%  
9 5% 99.0% Last Result
10 10% 94%  
11 17% 84%  
12 21% 67% Median
13 20% 45%  
14 14% 26%  
15 8% 12%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 0% 64%  
5 0% 64%  
6 0% 64%  
7 0% 64%  
8 10% 64%  
9 24% 54% Median
10 16% 30% Last Result
11 8% 14%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.1% 1.5%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 183 100% 176–189 175–191 174–193 172–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 158–170 156–171 155–173 152–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 95 0% 89–101 88–102 87–103 83–107
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 77–88 76–90 75–91 72–94

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.2% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.7%  
172 0.5% 99.5%  
173 0.9% 99.1%  
174 2% 98%  
175 3% 97%  
176 4% 94%  
177 2% 90%  
178 6% 87%  
179 5% 81%  
180 7% 76% Last Result
181 8% 69%  
182 8% 61%  
183 7% 52%  
184 8% 46% Median
185 4% 38%  
186 7% 34%  
187 7% 27%  
188 7% 20%  
189 4% 14%  
190 4% 10%  
191 2% 6%  
192 1.2% 4%  
193 0.6% 3%  
194 1.2% 2%  
195 0.3% 1.1%  
196 0.6% 0.9%  
197 0.2% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.3% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.5%  
154 0.7% 99.0%  
155 2% 98%  
156 3% 97%  
157 2% 93%  
158 6% 91% Last Result
159 9% 86%  
160 4% 77%  
161 7% 72%  
162 7% 65%  
163 8% 58%  
164 8% 51% Median
165 7% 43%  
166 10% 36%  
167 5% 26%  
168 4% 21%  
169 6% 17%  
170 3% 11%  
171 3% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 2% 3%  
174 0.8% 2%  
175 0.4% 0.9%  
176 0.2% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 0.6% 99.3%  
85 0.2% 98.7%  
86 0.1% 98%  
87 2% 98%  
88 5% 97%  
89 7% 91%  
90 4% 84%  
91 1.3% 80%  
92 2% 79%  
93 11% 78%  
94 13% 67%  
95 11% 54% Last Result, Median
96 12% 42%  
97 3% 30%  
98 3% 28%  
99 8% 25%  
100 4% 17%  
101 6% 13%  
102 3% 7%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.5% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.4%  
106 0.4% 1.0%  
107 0.3% 0.6%  
108 0.2% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 1.1% 98.9%  
75 3% 98%  
76 2% 95%  
77 4% 93%  
78 6% 89%  
79 6% 83%  
80 11% 77%  
81 5% 66%  
82 7% 61%  
83 9% 54% Median
84 11% 45%  
85 9% 33%  
86 6% 24% Last Result
87 6% 18%  
88 4% 12%  
89 2% 8%  
90 3% 6%  
91 1.0% 3%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations