Opinion Poll by Κάπα Research, 20–24 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.3% 42.9–45.7% 42.5–46.1% 42.1–46.5% 41.5–47.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.0% 28.7–31.3% 28.3–31.7% 28.0–32.0% 27.4–32.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.5% 6.4–8.7% 6.0–9.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.4% 3.9–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.4–5.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 164–172 162–174 162–175 160–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 76–84 75–85 74–86 73–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–22 17–22 17–23 16–24
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100% Last Result
159 0.2% 99.9%  
160 0.6% 99.6%  
161 1.3% 99.1%  
162 3% 98%  
163 5% 95%  
164 7% 90%  
165 9% 83%  
166 11% 74%  
167 12% 63%  
168 12% 51% Median
169 11% 39%  
170 8% 28%  
171 6% 20%  
172 5% 13%  
173 3% 9%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.5% 3%  
176 0.7% 1.4%  
177 0.4% 0.7%  
178 0.2% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.6%  
74 2% 98.7%  
75 4% 97%  
76 6% 93%  
77 9% 87%  
78 12% 78%  
79 12% 65%  
80 14% 53% Median
81 12% 39%  
82 9% 27%  
83 7% 18%  
84 5% 10%  
85 3% 6%  
86 2% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 1.4%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 1.3% 99.9%  
17 4% 98.5%  
18 16% 94%  
19 19% 78%  
20 27% 59% Median
21 17% 32%  
22 10% 15% Last Result
23 4% 5%  
24 1.0% 1.3%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.1%  
12 18% 93%  
13 29% 75% Median
14 26% 46%  
15 14% 20% Last Result
16 5% 6%  
17 1.0% 1.2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 12% 98% Last Result
11 27% 86%  
12 31% 60% Median
13 19% 29%  
14 7% 9%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 18% 81%  
9 36% 63% Last Result, Median
10 20% 27%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.9% 1.0%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–192 182–194 181–195 180–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 100% 164–172 162–174 162–175 160–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0% 82–92 80–93 79–94 77–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 76–84 75–85 74–86 73–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.3% 99.8%  
180 0.8% 99.5% Last Result
181 2% 98.7%  
182 3% 97%  
183 5% 94%  
184 8% 89%  
185 10% 81%  
186 11% 71%  
187 12% 60%  
188 11% 48% Median
189 10% 37%  
190 8% 27%  
191 6% 19%  
192 4% 13%  
193 4% 9%  
194 2% 6%  
195 2% 3%  
196 0.9% 2%  
197 0.5% 1.0%  
198 0.3% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0.1% 100% Last Result
159 0.2% 99.9%  
160 0.6% 99.6%  
161 1.3% 99.1%  
162 3% 98%  
163 5% 95%  
164 7% 90%  
165 9% 83%  
166 11% 74%  
167 12% 63%  
168 12% 51% Median
169 11% 39%  
170 8% 28%  
171 6% 20%  
172 5% 13%  
173 3% 9%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.5% 3%  
176 0.7% 1.4%  
177 0.4% 0.7%  
178 0.2% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.5% 99.6%  
78 0.8% 99.2%  
79 2% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 3% 92%  
83 4% 89%  
84 5% 84%  
85 7% 79%  
86 10% 72%  
87 11% 62%  
88 11% 50%  
89 12% 40% Median
90 9% 27%  
91 8% 18%  
92 5% 10%  
93 3% 5%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.8% 99.6%  
74 2% 98.7%  
75 4% 97%  
76 6% 93%  
77 9% 87%  
78 12% 78%  
79 12% 65%  
80 14% 53% Median
81 12% 39%  
82 9% 27%  
83 7% 18%  
84 5% 10%  
85 3% 6%  
86 2% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 1.4%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations