Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Political, 22–26 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 46.4% | 44.3–48.4% | 43.8–49.0% | 43.3–49.5% | 42.3–50.4% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.7% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 172 | 166–177 | 165–179 | 163–181 | 161–184 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 66 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–19 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 95% | |
| 166 | 4% | 93% | |
| 167 | 6% | 89% | |
| 168 | 7% | 83% | |
| 169 | 8% | 77% | |
| 170 | 8% | 68% | |
| 171 | 9% | 60% | |
| 172 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 173 | 9% | 41% | |
| 174 | 7% | 33% | |
| 175 | 7% | 26% | |
| 176 | 5% | 19% | |
| 177 | 4% | 14% | |
| 178 | 3% | 10% | |
| 179 | 2% | 6% | |
| 180 | 2% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 89% | |
| 63 | 8% | 83% | |
| 64 | 10% | 74% | |
| 65 | 10% | 64% | |
| 66 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 44% | |
| 68 | 8% | 33% | |
| 69 | 9% | 25% | |
| 70 | 5% | 16% | |
| 71 | 5% | 11% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 7% | 96% | |
| 20 | 12% | 88% | |
| 21 | 14% | 77% | |
| 22 | 19% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 14% | 43% | |
| 24 | 13% | 29% | |
| 25 | 8% | 16% | |
| 26 | 4% | 8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98% | |
| 15 | 10% | 93% | Last Result |
| 16 | 15% | 84% | |
| 17 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 50% | |
| 19 | 14% | 31% | |
| 20 | 8% | 17% | |
| 21 | 5% | 9% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 11 | 7% | 97% | |
| 12 | 14% | 90% | |
| 13 | 19% | 76% | |
| 14 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 35% | |
| 16 | 10% | 19% | |
| 17 | 5% | 8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 0% | 87% | |
| 8 | 11% | 87% | |
| 9 | 25% | 76% | Last Result |
| 10 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 28% | |
| 12 | 8% | 12% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 194 | 100% | 188–200 | 187–202 | 186–203 | 183–206 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 172 | 100% | 166–177 | 165–179 | 163–181 | 161–184 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 75 | 0% | 69–80 | 67–81 | 65–83 | 62–85 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 66 | 0% | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 96% | |
| 188 | 4% | 93% | |
| 189 | 4% | 89% | |
| 190 | 7% | 85% | |
| 191 | 9% | 78% | |
| 192 | 8% | 69% | |
| 193 | 10% | 62% | |
| 194 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 195 | 8% | 43% | |
| 196 | 8% | 35% | |
| 197 | 7% | 27% | |
| 198 | 5% | 20% | |
| 199 | 5% | 16% | |
| 200 | 3% | 11% | |
| 201 | 2% | 8% | |
| 202 | 2% | 5% | |
| 203 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 160 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 163 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 164 | 2% | 97% | |
| 165 | 3% | 95% | |
| 166 | 4% | 93% | |
| 167 | 6% | 89% | |
| 168 | 7% | 83% | |
| 169 | 8% | 77% | |
| 170 | 8% | 68% | |
| 171 | 9% | 60% | |
| 172 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 173 | 9% | 41% | |
| 174 | 7% | 33% | |
| 175 | 7% | 26% | |
| 176 | 5% | 19% | |
| 177 | 4% | 14% | |
| 178 | 3% | 10% | |
| 179 | 2% | 6% | |
| 180 | 2% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 184 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 95% | |
| 68 | 3% | 94% | |
| 69 | 3% | 91% | |
| 70 | 4% | 88% | |
| 71 | 6% | 83% | |
| 72 | 7% | 78% | |
| 73 | 8% | 71% | |
| 74 | 9% | 63% | |
| 75 | 10% | 54% | |
| 76 | 9% | 44% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 36% | |
| 78 | 7% | 26% | |
| 79 | 7% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 89% | |
| 63 | 8% | 83% | |
| 64 | 10% | 74% | |
| 65 | 10% | 64% | |
| 66 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 44% | |
| 68 | 8% | 33% | |
| 69 | 9% | 25% | |
| 70 | 5% | 16% | |
| 71 | 5% | 11% | |
| 72 | 3% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Political
- Fieldwork period: 22–26 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.11%