Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 23–26 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.0% 40.0–44.0% 39.5–44.6% 39.0–45.1% 38.0–46.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–171 157–172 156–174 153–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 78–89 76–90 75–92 73–94
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–22 16–23 15–24 14–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 10–15 10–16 9–16 8–18
Ελληνική Λύση 10 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.6% 99.3%  
155 1.0% 98.7%  
156 2% 98%  
157 2% 96%  
158 3% 94% Last Result
159 4% 91%  
160 5% 87%  
161 7% 81%  
162 8% 75%  
163 9% 67%  
164 9% 58% Median
165 8% 50%  
166 7% 42%  
167 7% 34%  
168 6% 27%  
169 6% 21%  
170 4% 15%  
171 4% 11%  
172 3% 7%  
173 2% 5%  
174 1.2% 3%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.5% 1.0%  
177 0.3% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.8% 99.2%  
75 1.4% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 6% 87%  
80 8% 82%  
81 7% 74%  
82 10% 67%  
83 9% 57% Median
84 10% 48%  
85 7% 38%  
86 9% 31% Last Result
87 5% 22%  
88 6% 17%  
89 3% 11%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.2% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.8%  
15 3% 99.0%  
16 6% 96%  
17 11% 90%  
18 15% 79%  
19 19% 64% Median
20 16% 44%  
21 12% 29%  
22 8% 17% Last Result
23 5% 9%  
24 2% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.5%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 6% 98%  
13 11% 92%  
14 18% 81%  
15 19% 63% Last Result, Median
16 17% 44%  
17 13% 26%  
18 7% 13%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.3% 99.6%  
9 3% 99.4% Last Result
10 9% 96%  
11 17% 87%  
12 20% 70%  
13 22% 50% Median
14 15% 29%  
15 7% 13%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 10% 53% Median
9 23% 43%  
10 12% 20% Last Result
11 5% 8%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 178–190 176–192 175–193 172–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 159–171 157–172 156–174 153–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 96 0% 90–102 89–103 87–104 84–107
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 78–89 76–90 75–92 73–94

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.8%  
172 0.4% 99.7%  
173 0.7% 99.3%  
174 1.0% 98.5%  
175 1.3% 98%  
176 2% 96%  
177 3% 94%  
178 4% 91%  
179 4% 87%  
180 7% 83% Last Result
181 8% 76%  
182 8% 69%  
183 9% 60% Median
184 8% 51%  
185 7% 44%  
186 7% 37%  
187 6% 30%  
188 6% 24%  
189 4% 18%  
190 6% 15%  
191 3% 9%  
192 2% 6%  
193 2% 4%  
194 1.0% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.3%  
196 0.4% 0.9%  
197 0.2% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.6% 99.3%  
155 1.0% 98.7%  
156 2% 98%  
157 2% 96%  
158 3% 94% Last Result
159 4% 91%  
160 5% 87%  
161 7% 81%  
162 8% 75%  
163 9% 67%  
164 9% 58% Median
165 8% 50%  
166 7% 42%  
167 7% 34%  
168 6% 27%  
169 6% 21%  
170 4% 15%  
171 4% 11%  
172 3% 7%  
173 2% 5%  
174 1.2% 3%  
175 0.7% 2%  
176 0.5% 1.0%  
177 0.3% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 99.5%  
86 0.9% 99.1%  
87 1.1% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 3% 95%  
90 5% 93%  
91 5% 88%  
92 6% 83%  
93 8% 78%  
94 10% 70%  
95 8% 60% Last Result
96 9% 52% Median
97 7% 43%  
98 8% 36%  
99 6% 27%  
100 6% 21%  
101 4% 15%  
102 3% 11%  
103 3% 7%  
104 2% 5%  
105 1.0% 2%  
106 0.6% 1.4%  
107 0.3% 0.8%  
108 0.2% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.6%  
74 0.8% 99.2%  
75 1.4% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 6% 87%  
80 8% 82%  
81 7% 74%  
82 10% 67%  
83 9% 57% Median
84 10% 48%  
85 7% 38%  
86 9% 31% Last Result
87 5% 22%  
88 6% 17%  
89 3% 11%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.2% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.5%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations