Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega, 22–27 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.0% 42.2–45.8% 41.6–46.3% 41.2–46.8% 40.3–47.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.5% 26.8–30.2% 26.4–30.7% 26.0–31.1% 25.2–31.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.8–9.9% 6.4–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 1.9–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 169 163–175 161–176 160–178 158–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 71–82 70–83 70–84 68–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–14 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
159 0.8% 99.2%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 97%  
162 4% 94%  
163 5% 90%  
164 6% 85%  
165 7% 80%  
166 7% 73%  
167 7% 66%  
168 8% 59%  
169 8% 50% Median
170 7% 42%  
171 7% 35%  
172 6% 28%  
173 5% 21%  
174 4% 16%  
175 4% 12%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 5%  
178 1.3% 3%  
179 0.7% 1.2%  
180 0.3% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.6% 99.7%  
69 1.5% 99.1%  
70 3% 98%  
71 5% 95%  
72 6% 90%  
73 7% 84%  
74 8% 76%  
75 8% 68%  
76 8% 60%  
77 8% 53% Median
78 8% 45%  
79 7% 37%  
80 7% 30%  
81 7% 23%  
82 6% 16%  
83 5% 10%  
84 3% 5%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.8% 99.8%  
18 2% 99.0%  
19 6% 97%  
20 11% 91%  
21 15% 80%  
22 20% 65% Last Result, Median
23 16% 45%  
24 13% 29%  
25 8% 16%  
26 5% 8%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.8% 1.2%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 7% 97%  
14 13% 90%  
15 20% 77% Last Result
16 20% 56% Median
17 18% 36%  
18 10% 19%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.8% 1.1%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 0% 99.1%  
5 0% 99.1%  
6 0% 99.1%  
7 0% 99.1%  
8 1.0% 99.1%  
9 8% 98%  
10 16% 90% Last Result
11 23% 75%  
12 23% 51% Median
13 15% 29%  
14 9% 13%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.0% 1.3%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 0% 51%  
5 0% 51%  
6 0% 51%  
7 0% 51%  
8 13% 51% Median
9 22% 38% Last Result
10 11% 16%  
11 3% 4%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 191 100% 185–198 183–199 182–200 180–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 169 100% 163–175 161–176 160–178 158–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 75–88 74–90 73–91 71–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 71–82 70–83 70–84 68–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.2% 99.8%  
180 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
181 0.8% 99.2%  
182 2% 98%  
183 3% 97%  
184 3% 94%  
185 5% 91%  
186 6% 86%  
187 6% 80%  
188 7% 75%  
189 7% 68%  
190 7% 61%  
191 8% 54% Median
192 7% 45%  
193 7% 38%  
194 7% 30%  
195 6% 24%  
196 4% 18%  
197 4% 14%  
198 3% 10%  
199 3% 7%  
200 2% 4%  
201 1.2% 2%  
202 0.6% 1.0%  
203 0.3% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.9%  
158 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
159 0.8% 99.2%  
160 2% 98%  
161 3% 97%  
162 4% 94%  
163 5% 90%  
164 6% 85%  
165 7% 80%  
166 7% 73%  
167 7% 66%  
168 8% 59%  
169 8% 50% Median
170 7% 42%  
171 7% 35%  
172 6% 28%  
173 5% 21%  
174 4% 16%  
175 4% 12%  
176 3% 8%  
177 2% 5%  
178 1.3% 3%  
179 0.7% 1.2%  
180 0.3% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.7% 99.5%  
72 1.4% 98.9%  
73 2% 98%  
74 4% 95%  
75 5% 91%  
76 4% 86%  
77 4% 82%  
78 4% 78%  
79 6% 73%  
80 7% 68%  
81 9% 60%  
82 9% 51%  
83 8% 42%  
84 6% 34%  
85 5% 28% Median
86 5% 23%  
87 4% 19%  
88 5% 14%  
89 4% 10%  
90 3% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 1.2%  
93 0.3% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.6% 99.7%  
69 1.5% 99.1%  
70 3% 98%  
71 5% 95%  
72 6% 90%  
73 7% 84%  
74 8% 76%  
75 8% 68%  
76 8% 60%  
77 8% 53% Median
78 8% 45%  
79 7% 37%  
80 7% 30%  
81 7% 23%  
82 6% 16%  
83 5% 10%  
84 3% 5%  
85 1.4% 2%  
86 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations