Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 26–28 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.1% 40.4–43.9% 39.9–44.4% 39.5–44.8% 38.6–45.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.7% 24.2–27.3% 23.8–27.8% 23.4–28.2% 22.7–29.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.2% 7.3–9.3% 7.0–9.6% 6.8–9.8% 6.4–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.6–7.4% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–7.9% 4.9–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 161–170 159–172 158–174 156–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 23 20–25 19–26 19–27 18–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 15–21 14–21 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 13–16 12–17 12–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.7% 99.7%  
157 0.8% 99.0%  
158 2% 98% Last Result
159 3% 97%  
160 1.2% 94%  
161 8% 93%  
162 2% 84%  
163 16% 82%  
164 6% 66%  
165 14% 59% Median
166 6% 46%  
167 11% 40%  
168 8% 29%  
169 6% 21%  
170 6% 15%  
171 2% 9%  
172 3% 7%  
173 0.4% 4%  
174 2% 3%  
175 0.4% 1.3%  
176 0.6% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.8%  
63 0.8% 99.3%  
64 3% 98%  
65 3% 95%  
66 3% 93%  
67 4% 90%  
68 9% 86%  
69 11% 77%  
70 25% 66% Median
71 9% 41%  
72 5% 32%  
73 5% 27%  
74 8% 22%  
75 5% 14%  
76 6% 9%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.5% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 0.9%  
80 0.3% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 4% 98%  
20 9% 94%  
21 15% 85%  
22 18% 71% Last Result
23 21% 53% Median
24 12% 32%  
25 12% 20%  
26 4% 8%  
27 3% 4%  
28 0.8% 1.2%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.4%  
15 7% 97% Last Result
16 12% 89%  
17 22% 77%  
18 22% 55% Median
19 16% 33%  
20 9% 17%  
21 6% 8%  
22 1.3% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
11 2% 99.4%  
12 5% 98%  
13 19% 92%  
14 36% 74% Median
15 25% 38%  
16 5% 12%  
17 3% 7%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.0% 1.5%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 4% 90%  
9 24% 86% Last Result
10 26% 62% Median
11 21% 36%  
12 10% 15%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 184–193 182–195 181–197 179–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 100% 161–170 159–172 158–174 156–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–84 71–86 70–87 68–89
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.3% 99.8%  
179 0.6% 99.5%  
180 1.0% 99.0% Last Result
181 1.3% 98%  
182 3% 97%  
183 3% 94%  
184 6% 90%  
185 7% 84%  
186 9% 76%  
187 11% 67%  
188 8% 55% Median
189 15% 47%  
190 11% 33%  
191 5% 22%  
192 5% 17%  
193 3% 12%  
194 3% 9%  
195 2% 6%  
196 1.1% 4%  
197 1.2% 3%  
198 1.5% 2%  
199 0.3% 0.7%  
200 0.2% 0.4%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.7% 99.7%  
157 0.8% 99.0%  
158 2% 98% Last Result
159 3% 97%  
160 1.2% 94%  
161 8% 93%  
162 2% 84%  
163 16% 82%  
164 6% 66%  
165 14% 59% Median
166 6% 46%  
167 11% 40%  
168 8% 29%  
169 6% 21%  
170 6% 15%  
171 2% 9%  
172 3% 7%  
173 0.4% 4%  
174 2% 3%  
175 0.4% 1.3%  
176 0.6% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 1.0% 99.5%  
70 2% 98.5%  
71 1.1% 96%  
72 0.5% 95%  
73 1.1% 94%  
74 2% 93%  
75 4% 91%  
76 4% 87%  
77 6% 83%  
78 11% 77%  
79 11% 67%  
80 11% 56% Median
81 12% 45%  
82 6% 33%  
83 9% 26%  
84 7% 17%  
85 3% 10%  
86 5% 7%  
87 1.2% 3%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.8%  
63 0.8% 99.3%  
64 3% 98%  
65 3% 95%  
66 3% 93%  
67 4% 90%  
68 9% 86%  
69 11% 77%  
70 25% 66% Median
71 9% 41%  
72 5% 32%  
73 5% 27%  
74 8% 22%  
75 5% 14%  
76 6% 9%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.5% 1.4%  
79 0.3% 0.9%  
80 0.3% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations