Opinion Poll by GPO for Τα Νέα, 1–3 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.5% 41.5–45.5% 40.9–46.1% 40.5–46.6% 39.5–47.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.5–30.1% 23.7–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–169 157–171 156–173 154–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–77 65–78 64–79 62–82
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 15–25 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.6% 99.5%  
155 0.8% 98.9%  
156 1.1% 98%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 95% Last Result
159 3% 91%  
160 7% 88%  
161 6% 82%  
162 12% 76%  
163 8% 64%  
164 10% 56% Median
165 13% 46%  
166 6% 32%  
167 5% 26%  
168 6% 21%  
169 5% 15%  
170 3% 10%  
171 3% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.2% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.6%  
63 1.1% 99.2%  
64 1.3% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 4% 94%  
67 5% 90%  
68 8% 85%  
69 7% 77%  
70 10% 70%  
71 13% 60% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 38%  
74 8% 29%  
75 5% 21%  
76 6% 16%  
77 4% 10%  
78 2% 6%  
79 2% 4%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.6% 1.4%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.1% 99.7%  
18 2% 98.6%  
19 6% 97%  
20 11% 91%  
21 13% 80%  
22 18% 67% Last Result, Median
23 16% 49%  
24 12% 32%  
25 11% 21%  
26 5% 9%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.4% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.8%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.7% Last Result
16 6% 97%  
17 3% 92%  
18 4% 88%  
19 18% 85%  
20 35% 67% Median
21 18% 32%  
22 2% 14%  
23 2% 11%  
24 6% 9%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.7% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.6%  
10 6% 98.6% Last Result
11 13% 92%  
12 17% 79%  
13 23% 62% Median
14 19% 39%  
15 9% 20%  
16 6% 10%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.9% 1.2%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 13% 87%  
9 19% 74% Last Result
10 21% 55% Median
11 18% 34%  
12 10% 16%  
13 5% 6%  
14 1.3% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 181–192 180–194 178–196 176–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 100% 159–169 157–171 156–173 154–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–86 73–87 71–89 68–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–77 65–78 64–79 62–82

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.3% 99.6%  
177 0.8% 99.3%  
178 1.1% 98.5%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 96% Last Result
181 3% 93%  
182 7% 90%  
183 5% 82%  
184 10% 78%  
185 9% 68%  
186 6% 58% Median
187 10% 52%  
188 11% 42%  
189 7% 31%  
190 6% 24%  
191 5% 18%  
192 5% 13%  
193 2% 8%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 0.7% 3%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.6% 1.3%  
199 0.3% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.6% 99.5%  
155 0.8% 98.9%  
156 1.1% 98%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 95% Last Result
159 3% 91%  
160 7% 88%  
161 6% 82%  
162 12% 76%  
163 8% 64%  
164 10% 56% Median
165 13% 46%  
166 6% 32%  
167 5% 26%  
168 6% 21%  
169 5% 15%  
170 3% 10%  
171 3% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.2% 3%  
174 0.6% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 99.0%  
71 0.6% 98%  
72 1.3% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 5% 91%  
76 4% 86%  
77 7% 82%  
78 6% 74%  
79 8% 68%  
80 10% 60%  
81 9% 50% Median
82 13% 41%  
83 7% 28%  
84 6% 22%  
85 5% 16%  
86 3% 10%  
87 3% 7%  
88 1.2% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.6% 1.3%  
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.6%  
63 1.1% 99.2%  
64 1.3% 98%  
65 3% 97%  
66 4% 94%  
67 5% 90%  
68 8% 85%  
69 7% 77%  
70 10% 70%  
71 13% 60% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 38%  
74 8% 29%  
75 5% 21%  
76 6% 16%  
77 4% 10%  
78 2% 6%  
79 2% 4%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.6% 1.4%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations