Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 1–3 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 45.0% 43.0–47.0% 42.4–47.6% 41.9–48.1% 41.0–49.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.4% 26.6–30.3% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.3% 24.8–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 161–171 160–173 158–174 156–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 69–78 68–80 66–81 64–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 16–22 15–22 15–23 14–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 11–19 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.4% 99.6%  
157 0.9% 99.3%  
158 1.4% 98% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 3% 95%  
161 5% 92%  
162 7% 88%  
163 6% 81%  
164 7% 74%  
165 10% 67%  
166 12% 57% Median
167 10% 45%  
168 7% 35%  
169 7% 29%  
170 8% 21%  
171 5% 14%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 6%  
174 2% 4%  
175 1.1% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.0%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 0.7% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 98.6%  
67 2% 97%  
68 4% 95%  
69 6% 91%  
70 7% 86%  
71 9% 79%  
72 10% 70%  
73 10% 59% Median
74 11% 49%  
75 11% 38%  
76 8% 28%  
77 7% 20%  
78 5% 13%  
79 3% 8%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.3% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 1.2% 99.7%  
15 4% 98%  
16 8% 94%  
17 14% 86%  
18 18% 73%  
19 19% 54% Median
20 15% 36%  
21 11% 21%  
22 6% 10% Last Result
23 3% 5%  
24 1.1% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 5% 98%  
13 12% 93%  
14 18% 81%  
15 22% 63% Last Result, Median
16 18% 42%  
17 13% 24%  
18 7% 12%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
11 2% 99.5%  
12 7% 97%  
13 14% 90%  
14 19% 77%  
15 21% 57% Median
16 16% 36%  
17 11% 20%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.9% 1.2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 0% 99.4%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 0% 99.4%  
7 0% 99.4%  
8 2% 99.4%  
9 8% 97% Last Result
10 17% 90%  
11 23% 73% Median
12 22% 50%  
13 15% 28%  
14 8% 13%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–190 178–192 177–193 175–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 100% 161–171 160–173 158–174 156–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 80–90 79–91 77–93 75–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 69–78 68–80 66–81 64–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0.1% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.3% 99.8%  
175 0.5% 99.5%  
176 0.8% 99.1%  
177 1.4% 98%  
178 2% 97%  
179 4% 95%  
180 4% 91% Last Result
181 7% 87%  
182 7% 80%  
183 9% 73%  
184 8% 64%  
185 11% 55% Median
186 9% 45%  
187 9% 35%  
188 7% 26%  
189 6% 19%  
190 4% 13%  
191 3% 8%  
192 2% 5%  
193 1.3% 3%  
194 0.8% 2%  
195 0.4% 0.9%  
196 0.3% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.2% 99.8%  
156 0.4% 99.6%  
157 0.9% 99.3%  
158 1.4% 98% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 3% 95%  
161 5% 92%  
162 7% 88%  
163 6% 81%  
164 7% 74%  
165 10% 67%  
166 12% 57% Median
167 10% 45%  
168 7% 35%  
169 7% 29%  
170 8% 21%  
171 5% 14%  
172 3% 8%  
173 2% 6%  
174 2% 4%  
175 1.1% 2%  
176 0.4% 1.0%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 0.7% 99.2%  
77 1.2% 98.5%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 4% 92%  
81 7% 88%  
82 8% 82%  
83 9% 74%  
84 10% 65% Median
85 11% 55%  
86 10% 44%  
87 9% 34%  
88 7% 25%  
89 6% 18%  
90 4% 12%  
91 3% 8%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.2% 3%  
94 0.7% 1.3%  
95 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 0.7% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 98.6%  
67 2% 97%  
68 4% 95%  
69 6% 91%  
70 7% 86%  
71 9% 79%  
72 10% 70%  
73 10% 59% Median
74 11% 49%  
75 11% 38%  
76 8% 28%  
77 7% 20%  
78 5% 13%  
79 3% 8%  
80 2% 5%  
81 1.3% 3%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations