Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 3–5 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.2% 41.2–45.2% 40.6–45.8% 40.2–46.3% 39.2–47.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.5–30.1% 23.7–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 158–169 157–171 155–172 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 68–76 65–78 64–80 62–82
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–26 19–27 18–28 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 16–24 16–24 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.5% 99.7%  
154 0.5% 99.2%  
155 1.3% 98.7%  
156 2% 97%  
157 2% 96%  
158 5% 94% Last Result
159 3% 89%  
160 6% 87%  
161 5% 80%  
162 9% 75%  
163 12% 66%  
164 8% 54% Median
165 16% 46%  
166 5% 30%  
167 9% 25%  
168 4% 16%  
169 5% 12%  
170 2% 7%  
171 2% 5%  
172 1.1% 3%  
173 0.8% 2%  
174 0.4% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.2% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.6%  
63 0.5% 99.4%  
64 2% 99.0%  
65 3% 97%  
66 2% 94%  
67 2% 92%  
68 5% 90%  
69 10% 85%  
70 14% 76%  
71 14% 61% Median
72 17% 47%  
73 4% 31%  
74 3% 26%  
75 12% 23%  
76 4% 12%  
77 2% 7%  
78 0.8% 6%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.7% 1.4%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.0% 99.8%  
18 3% 98.8%  
19 8% 96%  
20 14% 88%  
21 11% 74%  
22 13% 62% Last Result, Median
23 12% 49%  
24 11% 37%  
25 12% 26%  
26 8% 14%  
27 4% 6%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.6% 0.9%  
30 0.2% 0.3%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100%  
14 0.4% 99.9%  
15 1.3% 99.5% Last Result
16 4% 98%  
17 6% 95%  
18 10% 88%  
19 12% 78%  
20 21% 66% Median
21 22% 45%  
22 13% 23%  
23 5% 10%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.1% 2%  
26 0.5% 0.9%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.4% 99.7%  
10 6% 98% Last Result
11 12% 92%  
12 21% 81%  
13 19% 60% Median
14 17% 40%  
15 12% 24%  
16 8% 12%  
17 3% 4%  
18 1.0% 1.4%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 0% 89%  
8 11% 89%  
9 27% 77% Last Result
10 26% 50% Median
11 12% 25%  
12 8% 13%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 182–191 179–194 178–195 176–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 158–169 157–171 155–172 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 75–86 73–87 69–88 68–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 68–76 65–78 64–80 62–82

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.2% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.7% 99.5%  
177 0.7% 98.8%  
178 2% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 2% 95% Last Result
181 2% 93%  
182 4% 90%  
183 8% 87%  
184 7% 79%  
185 13% 71%  
186 12% 59% Median
187 10% 47%  
188 11% 37%  
189 6% 26%  
190 8% 20%  
191 3% 12%  
192 3% 9%  
193 2% 7%  
194 2% 5%  
195 0.9% 3%  
196 0.5% 2%  
197 0.6% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.3%  
199 0.3% 0.8%  
200 0.2% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0.5% 99.7%  
154 0.5% 99.2%  
155 1.3% 98.7%  
156 2% 97%  
157 2% 96%  
158 5% 94% Last Result
159 3% 89%  
160 6% 87%  
161 5% 80%  
162 9% 75%  
163 12% 66%  
164 8% 54% Median
165 16% 46%  
166 5% 30%  
167 9% 25%  
168 4% 16%  
169 5% 12%  
170 2% 7%  
171 2% 5%  
172 1.1% 3%  
173 0.8% 2%  
174 0.4% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.2% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 1.2% 99.8%  
69 1.2% 98.6%  
70 0.6% 97%  
71 0.3% 97%  
72 0.3% 96%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 5% 92%  
76 3% 87%  
77 0.7% 84%  
78 8% 83%  
79 13% 76%  
80 12% 62%  
81 18% 50% Median
82 10% 32%  
83 1.4% 23%  
84 3% 21%  
85 6% 19%  
86 6% 13%  
87 4% 7%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.6% 2%  
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.3% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.6%  
63 0.5% 99.4%  
64 2% 99.0%  
65 3% 97%  
66 2% 94%  
67 2% 92%  
68 5% 90%  
69 10% 85%  
70 14% 76%  
71 14% 61% Median
72 17% 47%  
73 4% 31%  
74 3% 26%  
75 12% 23%  
76 4% 12%  
77 2% 7%  
78 0.8% 6%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.7% 1.4%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations