Opinion Poll by Interview for Βεργίνα TV, 17–22 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.7% 40.8–44.6% 40.3–45.2% 39.8–45.7% 38.9–46.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.4% 23.8–27.2% 23.3–27.7% 22.9–28.1% 22.2–28.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.3–8.9% 6.1–9.2% 5.7–9.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.4% 4.3–8.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 162–173 161–174 160–176 157–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–75 65–76 63–77 61–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 18–24 17–25 16–27
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 13–20 13–20 12–22
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 12–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 0–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.6% 99.5% Last Result
159 0.9% 98.9%  
160 2% 98%  
161 2% 96%  
162 4% 94%  
163 5% 90%  
164 5% 84%  
165 8% 80%  
166 9% 72%  
167 10% 62%  
168 10% 52% Median
169 9% 42%  
170 7% 34%  
171 9% 26%  
172 5% 17%  
173 4% 13%  
174 4% 8%  
175 1.2% 5%  
176 2% 4%  
177 0.7% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.1%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.3%  
63 2% 98.7%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 7% 91%  
67 7% 84%  
68 9% 77%  
69 10% 69%  
70 12% 59% Median
71 9% 46%  
72 12% 37%  
73 7% 25%  
74 7% 18%  
75 4% 11%  
76 4% 7%  
77 1.3% 4%  
78 1.4% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.2% 99.9%  
16 1.4% 99.7%  
17 3% 98%  
18 8% 95%  
19 15% 87%  
20 14% 73%  
21 19% 58% Median
22 18% 39% Last Result
23 10% 22%  
24 7% 12%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.1% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.7%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.8%  
14 11% 94%  
15 21% 84%  
16 18% 63% Median
17 17% 45%  
18 13% 28%  
19 8% 15%  
20 5% 7%  
21 1.3% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.6%  
11 3% 99.1%  
12 15% 97%  
13 20% 81%  
14 41% 61% Median
15 10% 20% Last Result
16 5% 10%  
17 2% 5%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.2% 1.4%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 1.2% 97%  
9 13% 96% Last Result
10 20% 83%  
11 23% 62% Median
12 21% 40%  
13 11% 19%  
14 6% 9%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 184–194 182–196 181–197 178–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 168 100% 162–173 161–174 160–176 157–179
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 76–86 75–87 73–88 70–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–75 65–76 63–77 61–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0.2% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.7%  
179 0.5% 99.5%  
180 1.2% 99.0% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 3% 96%  
183 3% 94%  
184 5% 91%  
185 5% 85%  
186 9% 81%  
187 10% 71%  
188 12% 62%  
189 6% 50% Median
190 11% 43%  
191 9% 32%  
192 7% 23%  
193 4% 16%  
194 5% 12%  
195 2% 7%  
196 2% 5%  
197 1.2% 3%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.5% 1.3%  
200 0.5% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.3% 99.8%  
158 0.6% 99.5% Last Result
159 0.9% 98.9%  
160 2% 98%  
161 2% 96%  
162 4% 94%  
163 5% 90%  
164 5% 84%  
165 8% 80%  
166 9% 72%  
167 10% 62%  
168 10% 52% Median
169 9% 42%  
170 7% 34%  
171 9% 26%  
172 5% 17%  
173 4% 13%  
174 4% 8%  
175 1.2% 5%  
176 2% 4%  
177 0.7% 2%  
178 0.4% 1.1%  
179 0.3% 0.7%  
180 0.2% 0.4%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0.1% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.3% 99.1%  
72 0.6% 98.8%  
73 1.3% 98%  
74 1.5% 97%  
75 3% 95%  
76 5% 93%  
77 6% 88%  
78 5% 82%  
79 9% 77%  
80 10% 68%  
81 12% 58% Median
82 9% 46%  
83 11% 38%  
84 10% 27%  
85 4% 17%  
86 4% 13%  
87 4% 8%  
88 2% 5%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.3%  
63 2% 98.7%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 7% 91%  
67 7% 84%  
68 9% 77%  
69 10% 69%  
70 12% 59% Median
71 9% 46%  
72 12% 37%  
73 7% 25%  
74 7% 18%  
75 4% 11%  
76 4% 7%  
77 1.3% 4%  
78 1.4% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.6%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations