Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 16–22 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.4% 41.6–45.3% 41.1–45.8% 40.6–46.2% 39.8–47.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.5% 25.9–29.2% 25.4–29.6% 25.0–30.1% 24.3–30.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.1% 7.2–9.2% 6.9–9.5% 6.7–9.8% 6.3–10.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.9% 5.1–6.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.7–7.4% 4.3–7.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–5.9% 3.2–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–168 158–170 156–171 154–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 68–76 66–78 66–78 64–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 10–14 10–15 10–15 9–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.2% 99.9%  
154 0.3% 99.7%  
155 0.8% 99.4%  
156 1.3% 98.6%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 96% Last Result
159 5% 92%  
160 6% 87%  
161 8% 80%  
162 10% 72%  
163 13% 63%  
164 10% 50% Median
165 10% 40%  
166 8% 30%  
167 7% 22%  
168 6% 15%  
169 4% 9%  
170 3% 5%  
171 1.2% 3%  
172 0.8% 2%  
173 0.4% 0.7%  
174 0.2% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.6%  
65 1.2% 98.9%  
66 3% 98%  
67 5% 95%  
68 5% 90%  
69 7% 85%  
70 11% 78%  
71 12% 67%  
72 14% 56% Median
73 13% 42%  
74 6% 29%  
75 7% 23%  
76 7% 16%  
77 3% 9%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.5%  
18 4% 98%  
19 11% 93%  
20 14% 82%  
21 19% 69% Median
22 19% 49% Last Result
23 14% 30%  
24 9% 16%  
25 4% 8%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 6% 96%  
14 18% 91%  
15 20% 72% Last Result
16 23% 52% Median
17 14% 29%  
18 10% 15%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.2%  
13 11% 95%  
14 15% 84%  
15 28% 69% Median
16 17% 42%  
17 14% 25%  
18 7% 11%  
19 3% 4%  
20 1.0% 1.3%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
10 15% 98.7%  
11 38% 83% Median
12 12% 46%  
13 6% 34%  
14 18% 28%  
15 9% 10%  
16 0.5% 0.8%  
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–190 179–191 178–192 176–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 100% 159–168 158–170 156–171 154–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 79–89 78–90 77–91 75–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 0% 68–76 66–78 66–78 64–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.9% 99.6%  
177 1.0% 98.7%  
178 2% 98%  
179 3% 96%  
180 5% 94% Last Result
181 6% 89%  
182 5% 83%  
183 7% 78%  
184 17% 71%  
185 10% 54% Median
186 10% 44%  
187 5% 34%  
188 9% 28%  
189 8% 19%  
190 3% 10%  
191 4% 8%  
192 1.3% 4%  
193 2% 2%  
194 0.4% 0.8%  
195 0.2% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.2% 99.9%  
154 0.3% 99.7%  
155 0.8% 99.4%  
156 1.3% 98.6%  
157 2% 97%  
158 4% 96% Last Result
159 5% 92%  
160 6% 87%  
161 8% 80%  
162 10% 72%  
163 13% 63%  
164 10% 50% Median
165 10% 40%  
166 8% 30%  
167 7% 22%  
168 6% 15%  
169 4% 9%  
170 3% 5%  
171 1.2% 3%  
172 0.8% 2%  
173 0.4% 0.7%  
174 0.2% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.7%  
76 0.7% 99.4%  
77 2% 98.7%  
78 4% 97%  
79 5% 93%  
80 4% 88%  
81 7% 84%  
82 8% 77%  
83 14% 69% Median
84 14% 56%  
85 11% 41%  
86 8% 30%  
87 6% 22%  
88 5% 16%  
89 5% 11%  
90 3% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 1.5%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.6%  
65 1.2% 98.9%  
66 3% 98%  
67 5% 95%  
68 5% 90%  
69 7% 85%  
70 11% 78%  
71 12% 67%  
72 14% 56% Median
73 13% 42%  
74 6% 29%  
75 7% 23%  
76 7% 16%  
77 3% 9%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.4% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.0%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations