Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 26–28 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.1% 39.4–42.9% 38.9–43.4% 38.5–43.8% 37.6–44.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.2% 26.6–29.8% 26.2–30.3% 25.8–30.7% 25.1–31.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.5–8.9% 6.3–9.1% 5.9–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.9% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.1% 4.7–7.3% 4.4–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.4–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 157–167 156–168 155–170 153–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 73–81 72–83 71–84 68–87
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 19–24 18–25 17–25 16–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 12–17 12–17 12–18 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.5% 99.7%  
154 0.7% 99.2%  
155 2% 98.5%  
156 3% 97%  
157 4% 94%  
158 6% 89% Last Result
159 8% 83%  
160 8% 76%  
161 12% 68%  
162 10% 56% Median
163 6% 46%  
164 5% 40%  
165 9% 34%  
166 9% 25%  
167 8% 16%  
168 4% 8%  
169 1.3% 4%  
170 1.2% 3%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.6% 2%  
173 0.7% 0.9%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.8% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 95%  
73 8% 93%  
74 11% 85%  
75 7% 74%  
76 10% 67%  
77 8% 57% Median
78 6% 48%  
79 13% 42%  
80 14% 29%  
81 5% 15%  
82 3% 10%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.4% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.8% 99.9%  
17 3% 99.1%  
18 6% 96%  
19 20% 90%  
20 17% 70%  
21 15% 53% Median
22 18% 39% Last Result
23 9% 21%  
24 6% 11%  
25 4% 5%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.9%  
13 5% 98.9%  
14 7% 94%  
15 21% 87% Last Result
16 21% 66% Median
17 22% 45%  
18 12% 23%  
19 8% 11%  
20 3% 4%  
21 1.0% 1.4%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.6%  
12 9% 98%  
13 17% 89%  
14 20% 73%  
15 29% 52% Median
16 12% 23%  
17 7% 11%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 5% 86%  
9 25% 80% Last Result
10 30% 55% Median
11 14% 25%  
12 9% 11%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 183 100% 178–189 177–190 176–192 174–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 100% 157–167 156–168 155–170 153–173
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 80–92 78–92 77–92 74–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 73–81 72–83 71–84 68–87

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.7% 99.6%  
175 0.9% 98.9%  
176 2% 98%  
177 4% 95%  
178 4% 92%  
179 5% 88%  
180 11% 83% Last Result
181 12% 72%  
182 4% 61%  
183 8% 57% Median
184 12% 49%  
185 10% 37%  
186 3% 28%  
187 7% 24%  
188 6% 17%  
189 5% 11%  
190 1.4% 6%  
191 2% 5%  
192 1.2% 3%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.5% 1.1%  
195 0.4% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.1%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.5% 99.7%  
154 0.7% 99.2%  
155 2% 98.5%  
156 3% 97%  
157 4% 94%  
158 6% 89% Last Result
159 8% 83%  
160 8% 76%  
161 12% 68%  
162 10% 56% Median
163 6% 46%  
164 5% 40%  
165 9% 34%  
166 9% 25%  
167 8% 16%  
168 4% 8%  
169 1.3% 4%  
170 1.2% 3%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.6% 2%  
173 0.7% 0.9%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 1.1% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 98.7%  
76 0.1% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 2% 94%  
80 5% 92%  
81 1.3% 88%  
82 4% 86%  
83 14% 82%  
84 3% 68%  
85 6% 65%  
86 16% 59%  
87 2% 43% Median
88 6% 40%  
89 19% 34%  
90 2% 15%  
91 3% 14%  
92 8% 10%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 1.0% 1.3% Last Result
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.8% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 98.7%  
71 2% 98%  
72 2% 95%  
73 8% 93%  
74 11% 85%  
75 7% 74%  
76 10% 67%  
77 8% 57% Median
78 6% 48%  
79 13% 42%  
80 14% 29%  
81 5% 15%  
82 3% 10%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
87 0.4% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations