Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 6–9 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 42.5% | 40.5–44.5% | 39.9–45.1% | 39.5–45.6% | 38.5–46.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 27.8% | 26.0–29.7% | 25.5–30.2% | 25.1–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 161 | 154–167 | 153–169 | 153–171 | 150–173 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 77 | 66–79 | 65–80 | 65–80 | 64–81 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 22 | 18–25 | 18–27 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–26 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–16 | 8–18 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 11 | 8–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–16 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 153 | 4% | 98% | |
| 154 | 5% | 94% | |
| 155 | 3% | 89% | |
| 156 | 4% | 86% | |
| 157 | 9% | 82% | |
| 158 | 5% | 73% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 68% | |
| 160 | 4% | 62% | |
| 161 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 162 | 14% | 45% | |
| 163 | 5% | 31% | |
| 164 | 3% | 26% | |
| 165 | 3% | 23% | |
| 166 | 4% | 20% | |
| 167 | 6% | 16% | |
| 168 | 3% | 10% | |
| 169 | 2% | 7% | |
| 170 | 2% | 4% | |
| 171 | 2% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 5% | 80% | |
| 69 | 2% | 75% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 72 | 0% | 72% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 75 | 4% | 70% | |
| 76 | 14% | 66% | |
| 77 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 18% | 36% | |
| 79 | 11% | 18% | |
| 80 | 5% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 8% | 98% | |
| 19 | 5% | 90% | |
| 20 | 5% | 85% | |
| 21 | 27% | 80% | |
| 22 | 15% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 23 | 12% | 38% | |
| 24 | 16% | 26% | |
| 25 | 3% | 11% | |
| 26 | 2% | 8% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 16 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 6% | 96% | |
| 18 | 11% | 89% | |
| 19 | 18% | 78% | |
| 20 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 44% | |
| 22 | 11% | 26% | |
| 23 | 8% | 15% | |
| 24 | 5% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 17% | 95% | Last Result |
| 11 | 16% | 77% | |
| 12 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 44% | |
| 14 | 12% | 26% | |
| 15 | 7% | 13% | |
| 16 | 4% | 7% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 5% | 95% | |
| 9 | 16% | 90% | Last Result |
| 10 | 23% | 74% | |
| 11 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 12 | 13% | 27% | |
| 13 | 9% | 14% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 183 | 100% | 177–189 | 176–191 | 175–193 | 172–195 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 161 | 99.5% | 154–167 | 153–169 | 153–171 | 150–173 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 86 | 0% | 77–90 | 76–91 | 75–92 | 73–94 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 77 | 0% | 66–79 | 65–80 | 65–80 | 64–81 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 175 | 2% | 98% | |
| 176 | 3% | 96% | |
| 177 | 8% | 93% | |
| 178 | 7% | 84% | |
| 179 | 1.2% | 78% | |
| 180 | 6% | 77% | Last Result |
| 181 | 7% | 70% | |
| 182 | 10% | 63% | |
| 183 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 184 | 4% | 37% | |
| 185 | 3% | 32% | |
| 186 | 6% | 29% | |
| 187 | 3% | 23% | |
| 188 | 8% | 20% | |
| 189 | 3% | 11% | |
| 190 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 191 | 3% | 7% | |
| 192 | 2% | 4% | |
| 193 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 194 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 195 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 198 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148 | 0% | 100% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 150 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 153 | 4% | 98% | |
| 154 | 5% | 94% | |
| 155 | 3% | 89% | |
| 156 | 4% | 86% | |
| 157 | 9% | 82% | |
| 158 | 5% | 73% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 68% | |
| 160 | 4% | 62% | |
| 161 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 162 | 14% | 45% | |
| 163 | 5% | 31% | |
| 164 | 3% | 26% | |
| 165 | 3% | 23% | |
| 166 | 4% | 20% | |
| 167 | 6% | 16% | |
| 168 | 3% | 10% | |
| 169 | 2% | 7% | |
| 170 | 2% | 4% | |
| 171 | 2% | 3% | |
| 172 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98% | |
| 76 | 3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 4% | 93% | |
| 78 | 5% | 89% | |
| 79 | 4% | 83% | |
| 80 | 6% | 79% | |
| 81 | 2% | 73% | |
| 82 | 2% | 71% | |
| 83 | 3% | 68% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 65% | |
| 85 | 6% | 64% | |
| 86 | 14% | 58% | |
| 87 | 10% | 44% | |
| 88 | 9% | 34% | Median |
| 89 | 11% | 25% | |
| 90 | 7% | 14% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 5% | 80% | |
| 69 | 2% | 75% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 72 | 0% | 72% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 75 | 4% | 70% | |
| 76 | 14% | 66% | |
| 77 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 18% | 36% | |
| 79 | 11% | 18% | |
| 80 | 5% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Powergame.gr
- Fieldwork period: 6–9 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 0.62%