Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 8–9 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.5% 39.5–43.5% 39.0–44.1% 38.5–44.6% 37.5–45.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.4–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 157–170 156–172 154–173 152–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 77–88 76–90 74–91 72–94
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–25 16–26 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 8 0–14 0–15 0–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 9–14 8–15 0–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.8% Majority
152 0.4% 99.5%  
153 0.7% 99.1%  
154 1.2% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 3% 95%  
157 4% 93%  
158 4% 89% Last Result
159 6% 85%  
160 7% 79%  
161 7% 72%  
162 8% 65%  
163 8% 58% Median
164 8% 50%  
165 8% 42%  
166 6% 34%  
167 7% 28%  
168 5% 21%  
169 5% 16%  
170 3% 12%  
171 3% 8%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.2% 3%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.7% 99.3%  
74 1.2% 98.7%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 4% 93%  
78 4% 88%  
79 8% 84%  
80 8% 76%  
81 8% 69%  
82 9% 61%  
83 9% 51% Median
84 8% 42%  
85 8% 34%  
86 7% 26% Last Result
87 5% 19%  
88 4% 14%  
89 3% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.3%  
94 0.3% 0.7%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.8%  
16 2% 99.2%  
17 5% 97%  
18 9% 92%  
19 14% 83%  
20 16% 69%  
21 17% 53% Median
22 14% 36% Last Result
23 10% 22%  
24 6% 12%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.7% 1.0%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.9%  
13 9% 96%  
14 13% 87%  
15 19% 74% Last Result
16 20% 55% Median
17 14% 36%  
18 11% 21%  
19 5% 10%  
20 3% 5%  
21 0.9% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 0% 56%  
5 0% 56%  
6 0% 56%  
7 0% 56%  
8 18% 56% Median
9 23% 38%  
10 3% 16% Last Result
11 0.2% 13%  
12 0% 12%  
13 0.1% 12%  
14 3% 12%  
15 8% 9%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 1.5% 96%  
9 5% 95% Last Result
10 10% 89%  
11 16% 79%  
12 30% 63% Median
13 20% 33%  
14 9% 14%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.9% 1.2%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 178–191 176–193 175–194 172–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 99.8% 157–170 156–172 154–173 152–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 95 0% 88–100 86–102 84–103 79–105
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 83 0% 77–88 76–90 74–91 72–94

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0.1% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.8%  
172 0.4% 99.6%  
173 0.6% 99.2%  
174 1.1% 98.6%  
175 2% 98%  
176 2% 96%  
177 3% 94%  
178 4% 91%  
179 5% 87%  
180 6% 82% Last Result
181 7% 76%  
182 7% 69%  
183 8% 62%  
184 7% 55% Median
185 7% 48%  
186 7% 40%  
187 6% 33%  
188 6% 27%  
189 5% 22%  
190 4% 17%  
191 4% 13%  
192 3% 9%  
193 2% 6%  
194 1.4% 4%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.2%  
197 0.3% 0.7%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.2% 99.8% Majority
152 0.4% 99.5%  
153 0.7% 99.1%  
154 1.2% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 3% 95%  
157 4% 93%  
158 4% 89% Last Result
159 6% 85%  
160 7% 79%  
161 7% 72%  
162 8% 65%  
163 8% 58% Median
164 8% 50%  
165 8% 42%  
166 6% 34%  
167 7% 28%  
168 5% 21%  
169 5% 16%  
170 3% 12%  
171 3% 8%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.2% 3%  
174 0.9% 2%  
175 0.5% 1.2%  
176 0.3% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.2% 99.5%  
81 0.4% 99.2%  
82 0.5% 98.8%  
83 0.7% 98%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 1.1% 97%  
86 1.5% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 3% 92%  
89 4% 90%  
90 5% 86%  
91 6% 81%  
92 7% 74%  
93 9% 67%  
94 8% 58%  
95 9% 50% Last Result, Median
96 9% 41%  
97 8% 32%  
98 7% 24%  
99 5% 17%  
100 4% 11%  
101 3% 8%  
102 2% 5%  
103 1.3% 3%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.5% 0.9%  
106 0.2% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.7% 99.3%  
74 1.2% 98.7%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 4% 93%  
78 4% 88%  
79 8% 84%  
80 8% 76%  
81 8% 69%  
82 9% 61%  
83 9% 51% Median
84 8% 42%  
85 8% 34%  
86 7% 26% Last Result
87 5% 19%  
88 4% 14%  
89 3% 9%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.0% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.3%  
94 0.3% 0.7%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations