Opinion Poll by GPO for powergame.gr, 10–12 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.5% 40.5–44.5% 39.9–45.1% 39.5–45.6% 38.5–46.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.5–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 156–168 154–169 153–170 151–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–78 67–80 66–81 64–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 10–15 10–16 9–16 8–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 8–14 0–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.9%  
151 0.4% 99.7% Majority
152 0.8% 99.3%  
153 1.3% 98.6%  
154 2% 97%  
155 3% 95%  
156 3% 92%  
157 4% 89%  
158 6% 85% Last Result
159 8% 79%  
160 10% 71%  
161 12% 61% Median
162 14% 49%  
163 7% 35%  
164 5% 28%  
165 5% 22%  
166 3% 17%  
167 4% 14%  
168 4% 10%  
169 3% 6%  
170 1.3% 3%  
171 0.8% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.6%  
65 1.2% 99.0%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 95%  
68 5% 91%  
69 5% 86%  
70 7% 81%  
71 8% 74%  
72 8% 66%  
73 9% 58% Median
74 10% 49%  
75 9% 39%  
76 7% 30%  
77 7% 23%  
78 6% 16%  
79 4% 9%  
80 3% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.5%  
18 4% 98%  
19 7% 94%  
20 12% 87%  
21 18% 75%  
22 17% 57% Last Result, Median
23 15% 40%  
24 12% 25%  
25 7% 14%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.8% 1.2%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.9% 99.7% Last Result
16 3% 98.9%  
17 7% 96%  
18 11% 89%  
19 17% 78%  
20 18% 61% Median
21 16% 43%  
22 12% 26%  
23 7% 15%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.2%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.4% 99.8%  
9 3% 99.4%  
10 9% 96% Last Result
11 16% 88%  
12 22% 72%  
13 21% 50% Median
14 15% 29%  
15 9% 14%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 5% 97%  
9 15% 92% Last Result
10 23% 76%  
11 23% 53% Median
12 16% 30%  
13 9% 14%  
14 4% 5%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 178–189 177–191 175–192 173–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 99.7% 156–168 154–169 153–170 151–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 78–89 77–90 75–92 72–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–78 67–80 66–81 64–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.2% 99.8%  
173 0.4% 99.6%  
174 0.7% 99.2%  
175 1.1% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 3% 96%  
178 4% 93%  
179 7% 89%  
180 7% 82% Last Result
181 6% 75%  
182 6% 68%  
183 11% 62% Median
184 12% 51%  
185 10% 39%  
186 6% 30%  
187 5% 24%  
188 5% 19%  
189 5% 14%  
190 3% 8%  
191 2% 5%  
192 1.3% 3%  
193 0.8% 2%  
194 0.6% 1.3%  
195 0.3% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.9%  
151 0.4% 99.7% Majority
152 0.8% 99.3%  
153 1.3% 98.6%  
154 2% 97%  
155 3% 95%  
156 3% 92%  
157 4% 89%  
158 6% 85% Last Result
159 8% 79%  
160 10% 71%  
161 12% 61% Median
162 14% 49%  
163 7% 35%  
164 5% 28%  
165 5% 22%  
166 3% 17%  
167 4% 14%  
168 4% 10%  
169 3% 6%  
170 1.3% 3%  
171 0.8% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.3%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.5% 99.3%  
74 0.7% 98.9%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 93%  
79 5% 89%  
80 7% 84%  
81 7% 77%  
82 9% 70%  
83 9% 61%  
84 9% 52% Median
85 9% 44%  
86 9% 35%  
87 7% 26%  
88 6% 19%  
89 5% 13%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.7% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.6%  
65 1.2% 99.0%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 95%  
68 5% 91%  
69 5% 86%  
70 7% 81%  
71 8% 74%  
72 8% 66%  
73 9% 58% Median
74 10% 49%  
75 9% 39%  
76 7% 30%  
77 7% 23%  
78 6% 16%  
79 4% 9%  
80 3% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations