Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 19–22 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.3% 40.5–44.2% 40.0–44.7% 39.6–45.1% 38.7–46.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.5% 23.9–27.1% 23.5–27.6% 23.1–28.0% 22.4–28.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.7% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.1% 6.3–9.4% 5.9–9.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.2–8.0% 4.8–8.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 160–170 159–171 157–173 155–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 65–73 64–75 63–76 61–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 9–14 9–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.2% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.7%  
156 0.8% 99.4%  
157 2% 98.6%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 3% 95%  
160 5% 93%  
161 5% 88%  
162 8% 83%  
163 9% 75%  
164 9% 66%  
165 11% 58% Median
166 10% 47%  
167 6% 37%  
168 12% 31%  
169 5% 19%  
170 4% 14%  
171 5% 10%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.1% 3%  
174 0.7% 2%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.6%  
62 1.5% 99.1%  
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 4% 92%  
66 9% 88%  
67 9% 79%  
68 13% 69%  
69 10% 56% Median
70 12% 46%  
71 7% 34%  
72 10% 27%  
73 8% 17%  
74 3% 10%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.6% 99.8%  
17 3% 99.2%  
18 7% 96%  
19 12% 89%  
20 17% 78%  
21 18% 60% Median
22 17% 43% Last Result
23 13% 26%  
24 7% 13%  
25 3% 6%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.6% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.8%  
14 3% 98.9%  
15 9% 96% Last Result
16 16% 86%  
17 17% 70%  
18 21% 53% Median
19 15% 33%  
20 9% 18%  
21 5% 9%  
22 2% 4%  
23 1.0% 1.3%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 1.4% 99.7%  
12 6% 98%  
13 15% 93%  
14 19% 78%  
15 22% 59% Median
16 17% 37%  
17 11% 20%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.9% 1.2%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100%  
1 0% 99.2%  
2 0% 99.2%  
3 0% 99.2%  
4 0% 99.2%  
5 0% 99.2%  
6 0% 99.2%  
7 0% 99.2%  
8 1.1% 99.2%  
9 7% 98% Last Result
10 12% 91%  
11 16% 79%  
12 31% 63% Median
13 21% 32%  
14 7% 11%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 181–191 180–193 178–194 177–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 100% 160–170 159–171 157–173 155–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 77–86 75–87 74–88 71–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 0% 65–73 64–75 63–76 61–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0.1% 100%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.8%  
177 2% 99.7%  
178 0.6% 98%  
179 0.1% 97%  
180 5% 97% Last Result
181 6% 92%  
182 1.2% 86%  
183 6% 85%  
184 18% 79%  
185 4% 62%  
186 2% 58% Median
187 20% 56%  
188 10% 36%  
189 0.3% 25%  
190 7% 25%  
191 11% 18%  
192 0.7% 6%  
193 0.5% 5%  
194 3% 5%  
195 0.8% 1.5%  
196 0.2% 0.7%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.2% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.2% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.7%  
156 0.8% 99.4%  
157 2% 98.6%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 3% 95%  
160 5% 93%  
161 5% 88%  
162 8% 83%  
163 9% 75%  
164 9% 66%  
165 11% 58% Median
166 10% 47%  
167 6% 37%  
168 12% 31%  
169 5% 19%  
170 4% 14%  
171 5% 10%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.1% 3%  
174 0.7% 2%  
175 0.3% 0.8%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 0.4% 99.4%  
73 1.0% 99.0%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 3% 97%  
76 3% 93%  
77 7% 90%  
78 7% 83%  
79 11% 76%  
80 9% 65%  
81 11% 56% Median
82 14% 45%  
83 5% 31%  
84 9% 26%  
85 6% 16%  
86 4% 10%  
87 2% 6%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.6%  
62 1.5% 99.1%  
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 4% 92%  
66 9% 88%  
67 9% 79%  
68 13% 69%  
69 10% 56% Median
70 12% 46%  
71 7% 34%  
72 10% 27%  
73 8% 17%  
74 3% 10%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.8%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations