Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 21–24 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.7% 44.7–48.7% 44.1–49.3% 43.6–49.8% 42.7–50.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.1% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 167–178 165–180 164–182 162–185
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 64–73 62–75 61–76 59–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 11–17 10–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0.1% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.4% 99.6%  
163 0.8% 99.1%  
164 1.4% 98%  
165 2% 97%  
166 3% 95%  
167 4% 91%  
168 6% 87%  
169 6% 81%  
170 8% 75%  
171 9% 67%  
172 9% 59% Median
173 10% 49%  
174 8% 39%  
175 8% 31%  
176 6% 23%  
177 5% 17%  
178 4% 13%  
179 3% 9%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.4% 4%  
182 1.0% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.4% 0.9%  
185 0.3% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.8%  
60 0.8% 99.4%  
61 1.4% 98.6%  
62 2% 97%  
63 4% 95%  
64 4% 91%  
65 6% 87%  
66 9% 81%  
67 11% 72%  
68 11% 61%  
69 11% 50% Median
70 10% 39%  
71 8% 29%  
72 6% 20%  
73 5% 14%  
74 4% 10%  
75 3% 6%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 1.0% 99.7%  
17 3% 98.6%  
18 7% 96%  
19 11% 89%  
20 17% 77%  
21 18% 61% Median
22 15% 43% Last Result
23 12% 27%  
24 8% 15%  
25 4% 8%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.9% 1.4%  
28 0.3% 0.5%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.9%  
13 9% 96%  
14 15% 87%  
15 20% 72% Last Result
16 20% 52% Median
17 15% 32%  
18 9% 18%  
19 5% 9%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.8% 1.2%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.9%  
10 2% 99.5% Last Result
11 7% 97%  
12 13% 90%  
13 20% 77%  
14 20% 56% Median
15 17% 36%  
16 10% 18%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 1.1%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 13% 84%  
9 25% 70% Last Result, Median
10 23% 45%  
11 13% 22%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 194 100% 188–200 187–201 185–203 183–206
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 100% 167–178 165–180 164–182 162–185
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 77 0% 71–82 69–84 67–85 64–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 0% 64–73 62–75 61–76 59–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.4% 99.6%  
184 0.8% 99.2%  
185 1.3% 98%  
186 2% 97%  
187 3% 95%  
188 4% 92%  
189 5% 88%  
190 6% 82%  
191 8% 76%  
192 9% 68%  
193 10% 60% Median
194 9% 50%  
195 8% 41%  
196 8% 33%  
197 6% 25%  
198 5% 19%  
199 4% 14%  
200 3% 10%  
201 2% 7%  
202 2% 5%  
203 1.3% 3%  
204 0.8% 2%  
205 0.4% 1.2%  
206 0.4% 0.8%  
207 0.2% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0.1% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0.1% 100%  
160 0.1% 99.9%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.4% 99.6%  
163 0.8% 99.1%  
164 1.4% 98%  
165 2% 97%  
166 3% 95%  
167 4% 91%  
168 6% 87%  
169 6% 81%  
170 8% 75%  
171 9% 67%  
172 9% 59% Median
173 10% 49%  
174 8% 39%  
175 8% 31%  
176 6% 23%  
177 5% 17%  
178 4% 13%  
179 3% 9%  
180 2% 6%  
181 1.4% 4%  
182 1.0% 3%  
183 0.6% 2%  
184 0.4% 0.9%  
185 0.3% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0.1% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 99.3%  
66 0.9% 98.8%  
67 1.2% 98%  
68 1.2% 97%  
69 2% 96%  
70 3% 94%  
71 4% 91%  
72 4% 87%  
73 5% 83%  
74 6% 78%  
75 7% 72%  
76 8% 65%  
77 10% 57%  
78 11% 47% Median
79 10% 36%  
80 7% 26%  
81 6% 19%  
82 4% 13%  
83 3% 9%  
84 2% 6%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.0% 2%  
87 0.5% 1.0%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.8%  
60 0.8% 99.4%  
61 1.4% 98.6%  
62 2% 97%  
63 4% 95%  
64 4% 91%  
65 6% 87%  
66 9% 81%  
67 11% 72%  
68 11% 61%  
69 11% 50% Median
70 10% 39%  
71 8% 29%  
72 6% 20%  
73 5% 14%  
74 4% 10%  
75 3% 6%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations