Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 23–25 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.1% 40.3–43.8% 39.8–44.3% 39.4–44.8% 38.6–45.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.5% 26.0–29.1% 25.5–29.6% 25.1–30.0% 24.4–30.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.5–8.9% 6.3–9.2% 5.9–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.6–7.4% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–7.9% 4.9–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.4–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 160–169 158–172 157–173 155–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 71–79 69–81 68–82 67–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–24 17–25 16–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.4% 99.7%  
156 0.4% 99.3%  
157 2% 98.9%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 4% 95%  
160 4% 91%  
161 7% 87%  
162 4% 80%  
163 17% 75%  
164 8% 58%  
165 12% 50% Median
166 7% 38%  
167 8% 31%  
168 4% 22%  
169 8% 18%  
170 3% 10%  
171 2% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 0.7% 2%  
175 1.1% 2%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.8% 99.6%  
68 1.4% 98.7%  
69 3% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 6% 91%  
72 7% 85%  
73 14% 79%  
74 8% 65%  
75 14% 57% Median
76 6% 43%  
77 14% 36%  
78 7% 23%  
79 7% 16%  
80 3% 9%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.8% 99.8%  
17 4% 99.1%  
18 8% 95%  
19 13% 87%  
20 19% 74%  
21 17% 55% Median
22 14% 38% Last Result
23 13% 24%  
24 7% 11%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.1% 1.5%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 4% 99.3%  
15 6% 96% Last Result
16 16% 90%  
17 24% 74%  
18 17% 50% Median
19 18% 33%  
20 8% 15%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.4% 0.7%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 5% 98.8% Last Result
11 13% 94%  
12 24% 80%  
13 27% 56% Median
14 15% 29%  
15 10% 14%  
16 3% 5%  
17 0.8% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 5% 88%  
9 26% 83% Last Result
10 26% 57% Median
11 20% 30%  
12 7% 11%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–191 179–192 178–194 176–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 100% 160–169 158–172 157–173 155–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 79–89 77–90 75–92 72–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 71–79 69–81 68–82 67–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.7% 99.6%  
177 0.6% 99.0%  
178 1.5% 98%  
179 3% 97%  
180 4% 94% Last Result
181 5% 90%  
182 7% 85%  
183 11% 78%  
184 8% 67%  
185 9% 59%  
186 9% 49% Median
187 10% 41%  
188 9% 31%  
189 6% 22%  
190 4% 16%  
191 4% 12%  
192 4% 8%  
193 0.8% 5%  
194 1.4% 4%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.6% 1.5%  
197 0.4% 0.9%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
153 0.1% 100%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.4% 99.7%  
156 0.4% 99.3%  
157 2% 98.9%  
158 2% 97% Last Result
159 4% 95%  
160 4% 91%  
161 7% 87%  
162 4% 80%  
163 17% 75%  
164 8% 58%  
165 12% 50% Median
166 7% 38%  
167 8% 31%  
168 4% 22%  
169 8% 18%  
170 3% 10%  
171 2% 7%  
172 2% 5%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 0.7% 2%  
175 1.1% 2%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 0.9% 99.2%  
74 0.7% 98%  
75 0.9% 98%  
76 1.1% 97%  
77 3% 96%  
78 2% 92%  
79 3% 90%  
80 6% 87%  
81 8% 82%  
82 9% 74%  
83 8% 65%  
84 8% 56%  
85 10% 48% Median
86 9% 39%  
87 13% 29%  
88 5% 17%  
89 3% 11%  
90 3% 8%  
91 2% 5%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.6% 1.1%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.8% 99.6%  
68 1.4% 98.7%  
69 3% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 6% 91%  
72 7% 85%  
73 14% 79%  
74 8% 65%  
75 14% 57% Median
76 6% 43%  
77 14% 36%  
78 7% 23%  
79 7% 16%  
80 3% 9%  
81 3% 6%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations