Opinion Poll by Interview for Βεργίνα TV, 11–17 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.0% 40.3–43.7% 39.8–44.2% 39.4–44.6% 38.6–45.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.4% 23.0–25.9% 22.6–26.4% 22.2–26.7% 21.6–27.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.1% 7.2–9.1% 7.0–9.4% 6.8–9.7% 6.4–10.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.6% 5.2–7.8% 4.9–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.8% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.3–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.0–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 161–170 159–171 158–172 156–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 63–69 62–70 61–71 59–74
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–20 15–21 14–21 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 14–19 13–20 12–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 9–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.2% 99.9%  
156 0.4% 99.7%  
157 0.7% 99.3%  
158 1.2% 98.6% Last Result
159 3% 97%  
160 4% 95%  
161 5% 91%  
162 9% 86%  
163 10% 77%  
164 11% 67%  
165 10% 56% Median
166 12% 47%  
167 11% 35%  
168 6% 24%  
169 6% 18%  
170 5% 11%  
171 3% 6%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.7% 2%  
174 0.5% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.5% 99.8%  
60 1.4% 99.3%  
61 3% 98%  
62 5% 95%  
63 10% 91%  
64 12% 81%  
65 13% 68%  
66 17% 55% Median
67 15% 39%  
68 7% 24%  
69 8% 16%  
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.0%  
74 0.2% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.5%  
19 5% 98%  
20 11% 93%  
21 16% 83%  
22 21% 67% Last Result, Median
23 18% 46%  
24 12% 28%  
25 9% 15%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.4%  
15 7% 97% Last Result
16 14% 90%  
17 26% 77%  
18 19% 50% Median
19 15% 32%  
20 11% 17%  
21 4% 6%  
22 1.5% 2%  
23 0.5% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.3%  
14 9% 97%  
15 15% 88%  
16 25% 73% Median
17 24% 48%  
18 13% 24%  
19 7% 11%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.7% 0.9%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.1% 99.7%  
9 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
10 2% 99.4%  
11 9% 98%  
12 37% 89%  
13 38% 51% Median
14 12% 13%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–192 182–193 180–194 178–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 165 100% 161–170 159–171 158–172 156–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 78 0% 74–82 73–84 72–85 70–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 0% 63–69 62–70 61–71 59–74

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.4% 99.8%  
179 0.2% 99.4%  
180 2% 99.2% Last Result
181 1.3% 97%  
182 4% 96%  
183 4% 92%  
184 6% 88%  
185 14% 82%  
186 3% 69%  
187 19% 66% Median
188 6% 47%  
189 12% 40%  
190 11% 28%  
191 4% 18%  
192 7% 14%  
193 2% 7%  
194 2% 4%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.1%  
197 0.4% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.2% 99.9%  
156 0.4% 99.7%  
157 0.7% 99.3%  
158 1.2% 98.6% Last Result
159 3% 97%  
160 4% 95%  
161 5% 91%  
162 9% 86%  
163 10% 77%  
164 11% 67%  
165 10% 56% Median
166 12% 47%  
167 11% 35%  
168 6% 24%  
169 6% 18%  
170 5% 11%  
171 3% 6%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.7% 2%  
174 0.5% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.4%  
176 0.1% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 1.1% 99.3%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 93%  
75 8% 89%  
76 9% 81%  
77 10% 72%  
78 13% 61%  
79 15% 48% Median
80 9% 33%  
81 7% 24%  
82 7% 17%  
83 5% 10%  
84 2% 5%  
85 2% 3%  
86 0.8% 1.5%  
87 0.4% 0.6%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.5% 99.8%  
60 1.4% 99.3%  
61 3% 98%  
62 5% 95%  
63 10% 91%  
64 12% 81%  
65 13% 68%  
66 17% 55% Median
67 15% 39%  
68 7% 24%  
69 8% 16%  
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.7% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.0%  
74 0.2% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations