Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 17–21 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.3% 41.3–45.3% 40.7–45.9% 40.3–46.4% 39.3–47.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.9% 26.1–29.8% 25.6–30.3% 25.2–30.8% 24.4–31.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 161–172 159–174 158–176 155–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 70–81 68–82 67–84 65–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–25 17–26 16–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 10–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.7%  
156 0.5% 99.5%  
157 1.4% 99.0%  
158 1.0% 98% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 2% 94%  
161 6% 92%  
162 4% 86%  
163 7% 82%  
164 6% 75%  
165 7% 69%  
166 11% 62%  
167 8% 52% Median
168 10% 44%  
169 4% 34%  
170 7% 30%  
171 5% 23%  
172 8% 17%  
173 3% 9%  
174 3% 6%  
175 0.8% 4%  
176 1.2% 3%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.0%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.2% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.7%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 2% 97%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 91%  
71 5% 86%  
72 6% 81%  
73 9% 74%  
74 8% 65%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 8% 46%  
77 11% 39%  
78 5% 28%  
79 7% 23%  
80 4% 16%  
81 6% 12%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 1.1% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 1.3% 99.8%  
17 2% 98.5%  
18 4% 96%  
19 13% 92%  
20 12% 80%  
21 17% 68%  
22 9% 50% Last Result, Median
23 27% 42%  
24 2% 15%  
25 9% 13%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.8%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 8% 96%  
14 13% 88%  
15 17% 74% Last Result
16 21% 57% Median
17 17% 36%  
18 12% 19%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.8% 1.3%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.3% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 8% 98% Last Result
11 13% 89%  
12 19% 76%  
13 23% 57% Median
14 14% 34%  
15 13% 20%  
16 4% 7%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.6% 1.0%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 0% 73%  
5 0% 73%  
6 0% 73%  
7 0% 73%  
8 7% 73%  
9 8% 66% Last Result
10 9% 58% Median
11 31% 49%  
12 15% 18%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.2% 0.5%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–195 180–195 179–197 177–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 161–172 159–174 158–176 155–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 77–89 75–91 74–92 71–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 70–81 68–82 67–84 65–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.7%  
177 0.4% 99.5%  
178 0.9% 99.1%  
179 2% 98%  
180 2% 96% Last Result
181 2% 94%  
182 5% 93%  
183 3% 88%  
184 7% 85%  
185 8% 78%  
186 7% 70%  
187 8% 63%  
188 7% 55%  
189 5% 49% Median
190 5% 44%  
191 12% 39%  
192 5% 26%  
193 8% 22%  
194 3% 14%  
195 6% 11%  
196 1.4% 5%  
197 2% 4%  
198 0.4% 2%  
199 0.6% 1.2%  
200 0.2% 0.6%  
201 0.2% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.3% 99.7%  
156 0.5% 99.5%  
157 1.4% 99.0%  
158 1.0% 98% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 2% 94%  
161 6% 92%  
162 4% 86%  
163 7% 82%  
164 6% 75%  
165 7% 69%  
166 11% 62%  
167 8% 52% Median
168 10% 44%  
169 4% 34%  
170 7% 30%  
171 5% 23%  
172 8% 17%  
173 3% 9%  
174 3% 6%  
175 0.8% 4%  
176 1.2% 3%  
177 0.6% 2%  
178 0.5% 1.0%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.2% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 99.3%  
73 1.2% 98.9%  
74 0.7% 98%  
75 4% 97%  
76 2% 93%  
77 5% 92%  
78 4% 86%  
79 7% 82%  
80 8% 75%  
81 7% 68%  
82 7% 61%  
83 4% 54%  
84 13% 50%  
85 7% 37% Median
86 7% 30%  
87 5% 23%  
88 6% 18%  
89 4% 13%  
90 3% 9%  
91 3% 6%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 0.6% 1.1%  
95 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.7%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 2% 97%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 91%  
71 5% 86%  
72 6% 81%  
73 9% 74%  
74 8% 65%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 8% 46%  
77 11% 39%  
78 5% 28%  
79 7% 23%  
80 4% 16%  
81 6% 12%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 1.1% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations