Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 18–24 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.1% 41.3–44.9% 40.8–45.5% 40.3–45.9% 39.4–46.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.5% 24.0–27.2% 23.5–27.7% 23.2–28.1% 22.4–28.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.6% 6.7–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.2% 5.8–9.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.5–8.3% 5.1–8.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 4.0–6.5% 3.6–6.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–169 158–170 157–172 155–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 64–72 62–73 61–74 60–76
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–24 17–24 15–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–21 14–22 13–23
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 16 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.5% 99.6%  
156 0.8% 99.1%  
157 2% 98%  
158 3% 97% Last Result
159 4% 94%  
160 7% 90%  
161 7% 83%  
162 10% 76%  
163 9% 67%  
164 14% 58% Median
165 8% 44%  
166 8% 35%  
167 9% 28%  
168 4% 18%  
169 7% 15%  
170 3% 8%  
171 2% 5%  
172 1.3% 3%  
173 0.7% 1.3%  
174 0.3% 0.6%  
175 0.2% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.8% 99.5%  
61 1.5% 98.7%  
62 2% 97%  
63 5% 95%  
64 6% 90%  
65 8% 84%  
66 13% 76%  
67 11% 64%  
68 11% 53% Median
69 11% 41%  
70 11% 31%  
71 7% 19%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 4%  
75 1.0% 2%  
76 0.6% 1.1%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.4%  
17 6% 98%  
18 12% 91%  
19 17% 80%  
20 20% 63% Median
21 18% 43%  
22 12% 25% Last Result
23 6% 14%  
24 5% 8%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 7% 97% Last Result
16 12% 90%  
17 19% 78%  
18 18% 59% Median
19 17% 41%  
20 13% 25%  
21 7% 11%  
22 3% 5%  
23 0.9% 1.4%  
24 0.3% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 7% 98%  
14 12% 91%  
15 18% 79%  
16 21% 61% Median
17 17% 41%  
18 13% 23%  
19 6% 10%  
20 2% 4%  
21 0.8% 1.1%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.7% Last Result
11 7% 98%  
12 16% 90%  
13 20% 74%  
14 23% 54% Median
15 17% 31%  
16 9% 14%  
17 3% 5%  
18 1.0% 1.4%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 180–189 178–191 177–192 175–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 100% 159–169 158–170 157–172 155–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 79–89 78–90 77–91 75–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 64–72 62–73 61–74 60–76

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.2% 99.8%  
175 0.4% 99.7%  
176 0.9% 99.2%  
177 1.5% 98%  
178 2% 97%  
179 4% 95%  
180 6% 91% Last Result
181 8% 85%  
182 8% 77%  
183 10% 69%  
184 12% 59% Median
185 11% 48%  
186 7% 37%  
187 8% 30%  
188 8% 22%  
189 5% 14%  
190 4% 9%  
191 2% 5%  
192 1.3% 3%  
193 1.0% 2%  
194 0.4% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.2% 99.8%  
155 0.5% 99.6%  
156 0.8% 99.1%  
157 2% 98%  
158 3% 97% Last Result
159 4% 94%  
160 7% 90%  
161 7% 83%  
162 10% 76%  
163 9% 67%  
164 14% 58% Median
165 8% 44%  
166 8% 35%  
167 9% 28%  
168 4% 18%  
169 7% 15%  
170 3% 8%  
171 2% 5%  
172 1.3% 3%  
173 0.7% 1.3%  
174 0.3% 0.6%  
175 0.2% 0.3%  
176 0.1% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 0.8% 99.2%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 97%  
79 4% 93%  
80 6% 89%  
81 8% 83%  
82 12% 74%  
83 8% 63%  
84 12% 54% Median
85 10% 42%  
86 9% 33%  
87 9% 23%  
88 4% 14%  
89 5% 10%  
90 2% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.7% 1.5%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 0.8% 99.5%  
61 1.5% 98.7%  
62 2% 97%  
63 5% 95%  
64 6% 90%  
65 8% 84%  
66 13% 76%  
67 11% 64%  
68 11% 53% Median
69 11% 41%  
70 11% 31%  
71 7% 19%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 8%  
74 2% 4%  
75 1.0% 2%  
76 0.6% 1.1%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations