Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 18–28 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.6% 45.0–48.2% 44.6–48.7% 44.2–49.1% 43.4–49.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.8% 23.4–26.2% 23.1–26.6% 22.7–27.0% 22.1–27.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–7.9% 5.2–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 169–176 168–177 167–177 165–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 61–68 60–69 60–70 58–72
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–25 19–25 19–26 18–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 16–20 15–20 15–21 14–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.9%  
164 0.2% 99.7%  
165 0.5% 99.5%  
166 1.2% 99.0%  
167 2% 98%  
168 4% 95%  
169 8% 92%  
170 10% 84%  
171 12% 74%  
172 15% 61% Median
173 14% 46%  
174 12% 32%  
175 10% 21%  
176 5% 11%  
177 4% 6%  
178 0.9% 2%  
179 0.8% 1.4%  
180 0.4% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.7%  
59 1.2% 99.1%  
60 3% 98%  
61 6% 95%  
62 9% 89%  
63 17% 80%  
64 13% 64%  
65 16% 50% Median
66 14% 34%  
67 8% 20%  
68 7% 12%  
69 2% 5%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.5% 1.1%  
72 0.3% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.3% 100%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 5% 98%  
20 11% 93%  
21 18% 81%  
22 22% 63% Last Result, Median
23 20% 41%  
24 11% 21%  
25 6% 10%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.7% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 2% 99.6%  
15 7% 98% Last Result
16 16% 91%  
17 25% 74% Median
18 22% 49%  
19 17% 27%  
20 7% 10%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 0.8%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.9% Last Result
11 6% 99.0%  
12 16% 93%  
13 27% 77% Median
14 27% 50%  
15 16% 23%  
16 5% 7%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 5% 98%  
9 23% 94% Last Result
10 31% 71% Median
11 24% 40%  
12 12% 16%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 194 100% 191–198 190–199 189–200 187–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 100% 169–176 168–177 167–177 165–180
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 74 0% 72–78 71–79 70–79 67–82
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 0% 61–68 60–69 60–70 58–72

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0.1% 100%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0.2% 99.7%  
187 0.5% 99.5%  
188 0.7% 99.0%  
189 2% 98%  
190 3% 96%  
191 8% 93%  
192 10% 85%  
193 11% 75%  
194 20% 64% Median
195 8% 44%  
196 17% 37%  
197 8% 20%  
198 6% 12%  
199 3% 6%  
200 1.3% 3%  
201 0.8% 1.5%  
202 0.4% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.2% 99.9%  
164 0.2% 99.7%  
165 0.5% 99.5%  
166 1.2% 99.0%  
167 2% 98%  
168 4% 95%  
169 8% 92%  
170 10% 84%  
171 12% 74%  
172 15% 61% Median
173 14% 46%  
174 12% 32%  
175 10% 21%  
176 5% 11%  
177 4% 6%  
178 0.9% 2%  
179 0.8% 1.4%  
180 0.4% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.2% 99.6%  
68 0.7% 99.4%  
69 0.7% 98.7%  
70 3% 98%  
71 5% 95%  
72 8% 91%  
73 14% 83%  
74 20% 69%  
75 12% 49% Median
76 15% 37%  
77 10% 21%  
78 6% 12%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.2% 2%  
81 0.4% 1.2%  
82 0.4% 0.8%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.7%  
59 1.2% 99.1%  
60 3% 98%  
61 6% 95%  
62 9% 89%  
63 17% 80%  
64 13% 64%  
65 16% 50% Median
66 14% 34%  
67 8% 20%  
68 7% 12%  
69 2% 5%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.5% 1.1%  
72 0.3% 0.5%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations