Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll, 27–30 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 46.6% 45.0–48.2% 44.6–48.7% 44.2–49.1% 43.4–49.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.8% 23.5–26.2% 23.1–26.6% 22.8–27.0% 22.1–27.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.4% 7.5–9.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.8% 6.7–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.3–4.5% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.7–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 168–176 167–177 166–179 164–181
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 61–69 60–70 59–71 58–73
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–24 19–25 19–26 18–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 14–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 8–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.3% 99.8%  
164 0.6% 99.6%  
165 1.3% 98.9%  
166 2% 98%  
167 4% 95%  
168 6% 91%  
169 9% 85%  
170 10% 76%  
171 12% 67%  
172 12% 55% Median
173 11% 43%  
174 10% 32%  
175 7% 22%  
176 6% 14%  
177 4% 9%  
178 2% 5%  
179 1.3% 3%  
180 0.7% 1.4%  
181 0.3% 0.6%  
182 0.2% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 2% 99.1%  
60 3% 97%  
61 6% 95%  
62 8% 89%  
63 11% 81%  
64 13% 70%  
65 16% 56% Median
66 12% 41%  
67 11% 29%  
68 8% 18%  
69 5% 11%  
70 3% 6%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.6%  
19 6% 98%  
20 12% 92%  
21 19% 80%  
22 22% 61% Last Result, Median
23 19% 39%  
24 11% 20%  
25 6% 9%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.7% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100%  
14 3% 99.5%  
15 8% 97% Last Result
16 18% 89%  
17 22% 71% Median
18 24% 49%  
19 14% 25%  
20 7% 11%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.8% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
11 5% 99.1%  
12 14% 94%  
13 25% 80%  
14 26% 54% Median
15 17% 28%  
16 8% 11%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 7% 97%  
9 23% 90% Last Result
10 30% 67% Median
11 24% 38%  
12 10% 13%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 194 100% 190–198 189–200 188–201 186–203
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 172 100% 168–176 167–177 166–179 164–181
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 75 0% 71–79 70–80 68–81 65–83
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 0% 61–69 60–70 59–71 58–73

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0.3% 99.8%  
186 0.5% 99.6%  
187 1.4% 99.0%  
188 2% 98%  
189 4% 95%  
190 5% 92%  
191 9% 86%  
192 11% 77%  
193 11% 66%  
194 12% 55% Median
195 12% 44%  
196 11% 32%  
197 8% 21%  
198 5% 14%  
199 4% 9%  
200 3% 5%  
201 1.4% 3%  
202 0.6% 1.5%  
203 0.4% 0.9%  
204 0.3% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
158 0% 100% Last Result
159 0% 100%  
160 0% 100%  
161 0% 100%  
162 0.1% 99.9%  
163 0.3% 99.8%  
164 0.6% 99.6%  
165 1.3% 98.9%  
166 2% 98%  
167 4% 95%  
168 6% 91%  
169 9% 85%  
170 10% 76%  
171 12% 67%  
172 12% 55% Median
173 11% 43%  
174 10% 32%  
175 7% 22%  
176 6% 14%  
177 4% 9%  
178 2% 5%  
179 1.3% 3%  
180 0.7% 1.4%  
181 0.3% 0.6%  
182 0.2% 0.3%  
183 0.1% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.5%  
66 0.4% 99.2%  
67 0.8% 98.8%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 5% 92%  
72 8% 87%  
73 10% 79%  
74 13% 68%  
75 13% 55% Median
76 12% 42%  
77 10% 30%  
78 9% 20%  
79 5% 11%  
80 3% 6%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.9% 1.5%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 2% 99.1%  
60 3% 97%  
61 6% 95%  
62 8% 89%  
63 11% 81%  
64 13% 70%  
65 16% 56% Median
66 12% 41%  
67 11% 29%  
68 8% 18%  
69 5% 11%  
70 3% 6%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations