Opinion Poll by GPO for Τα Νέα, 26–29 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.9% 40.9–44.9% 40.3–45.5% 39.9–46.0% 38.9–47.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.4% 26.6–30.3% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.3% 24.8–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 158–169 157–171 155–172 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 71–80 69–82 68–83 66–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–22 15–24 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 10–16 9–17 8–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.6%  
154 0.7% 99.2%  
155 2% 98.5%  
156 2% 97%  
157 3% 95%  
158 3% 92% Last Result
159 6% 88%  
160 8% 83%  
161 9% 74%  
162 9% 65%  
163 8% 56% Median
164 9% 48%  
165 10% 39%  
166 10% 29%  
167 4% 19%  
168 3% 15%  
169 2% 12%  
170 4% 10%  
171 3% 6%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.3% 0.5%  
178 0.2% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 1.2% 99.3%  
68 3% 98%  
69 1.4% 96%  
70 2% 94%  
71 9% 92%  
72 16% 83%  
73 4% 67%  
74 5% 63%  
75 15% 58% Median
76 14% 43%  
77 3% 29%  
78 4% 27%  
79 12% 23%  
80 4% 11%  
81 1.2% 7%  
82 1.0% 6%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.8% 1.5%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9%  
16 1.0% 99.6%  
17 3% 98.5%  
18 8% 95%  
19 10% 87%  
20 9% 77%  
21 18% 68% Median
22 21% 50% Last Result
23 14% 29%  
24 7% 15%  
25 4% 7%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 0.7% 99.7%  
15 2% 98.9% Last Result
16 6% 97%  
17 11% 91%  
18 20% 80%  
19 16% 61% Median
20 21% 44%  
21 12% 23%  
22 6% 11%  
23 2% 5%  
24 1.1% 3%  
25 1.0% 1.5%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.5% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.4%  
10 3% 97% Last Result
11 5% 94%  
12 22% 89%  
13 45% 68% Median
14 8% 23%  
15 1.0% 14%  
16 9% 13%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0% 83%  
8 13% 83%  
9 26% 70% Last Result, Median
10 19% 44%  
11 13% 24%  
12 8% 12%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.9% 1.1%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 179–191 178–192 177–193 174–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 99.9% 158–169 157–171 155–172 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 77–90 75–90 75–93 71–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 71–80 69–82 68–83 66–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.7% 99.6%  
175 0.5% 98.9%  
176 0.9% 98%  
177 2% 98%  
178 3% 96%  
179 4% 93%  
180 5% 89% Last Result
181 6% 84%  
182 12% 78%  
183 10% 66%  
184 7% 55% Median
185 8% 48%  
186 8% 40%  
187 5% 33%  
188 10% 28%  
189 7% 18%  
190 1.4% 12%  
191 4% 10%  
192 3% 7%  
193 2% 4%  
194 1.1% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.3%  
196 0.2% 0.9%  
197 0.2% 0.7%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.3% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.8%  
153 0.4% 99.6%  
154 0.7% 99.2%  
155 2% 98.5%  
156 2% 97%  
157 3% 95%  
158 3% 92% Last Result
159 6% 88%  
160 8% 83%  
161 9% 74%  
162 9% 65%  
163 8% 56% Median
164 9% 48%  
165 10% 39%  
166 10% 29%  
167 4% 19%  
168 3% 15%  
169 2% 12%  
170 4% 10%  
171 3% 6%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.2%  
175 0.3% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.7%  
177 0.3% 0.5%  
178 0.2% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 0.2% 98.7%  
74 0.3% 98.5%  
75 5% 98%  
76 0.6% 93%  
77 3% 92%  
78 2% 89%  
79 6% 87%  
80 3% 80%  
81 17% 77%  
82 7% 60%  
83 6% 53%  
84 8% 47% Median
85 9% 39%  
86 9% 30%  
87 4% 22%  
88 3% 18%  
89 5% 15%  
90 6% 10%  
91 1.0% 5%  
92 0.8% 3%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.5% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 1.2% 99.3%  
68 3% 98%  
69 1.4% 96%  
70 2% 94%  
71 9% 92%  
72 16% 83%  
73 4% 67%  
74 5% 63%  
75 15% 58% Median
76 14% 43%  
77 3% 29%  
78 4% 27%  
79 12% 23%  
80 4% 11%  
81 1.2% 7%  
82 1.0% 6%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.8% 1.5%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations