Opinion Poll by GPO for Τα Νέα, 1–2 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 42.9% | 40.9–44.9% | 40.3–45.5% | 39.9–46.0% | 38.9–47.0% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 28.4% | 26.6–30.3% | 26.1–30.8% | 25.7–31.3% | 24.8–32.2% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 163 | 158–169 | 156–171 | 155–172 | 153–175 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 70–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 66–86 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 21 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 156 | 2% | 97% | |
| 157 | 3% | 95% | |
| 158 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 87% | |
| 160 | 7% | 82% | |
| 161 | 8% | 75% | |
| 162 | 9% | 66% | |
| 163 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 164 | 9% | 48% | |
| 165 | 8% | 39% | |
| 166 | 8% | 31% | |
| 167 | 6% | 23% | |
| 168 | 5% | 17% | |
| 169 | 4% | 12% | |
| 170 | 3% | 9% | |
| 171 | 2% | 6% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 6% | 89% | |
| 72 | 8% | 83% | |
| 73 | 9% | 75% | |
| 74 | 9% | 66% | |
| 75 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 47% | |
| 77 | 8% | 35% | |
| 78 | 7% | 27% | |
| 79 | 7% | 21% | |
| 80 | 5% | 14% | |
| 81 | 3% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98% | |
| 18 | 8% | 95% | |
| 19 | 13% | 88% | |
| 20 | 16% | 75% | |
| 21 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 41% | Last Result |
| 23 | 11% | 26% | |
| 24 | 7% | 15% | |
| 25 | 4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 16 | 8% | 95% | |
| 17 | 12% | 87% | |
| 18 | 17% | 75% | |
| 19 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 20 | 17% | 40% | |
| 21 | 11% | 23% | |
| 22 | 6% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 6% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 11 | 12% | 91% | |
| 12 | 17% | 79% | |
| 13 | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 38% | |
| 15 | 11% | 19% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 11% | 84% | |
| 9 | 25% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 23% | 48% | |
| 11 | 15% | 25% | |
| 12 | 7% | 10% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 184 | 100% | 179–190 | 177–192 | 176–194 | 174–197 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 163 | 99.9% | 158–169 | 156–171 | 155–172 | 153–175 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 84 | 0% | 77–89 | 75–91 | 74–92 | 71–94 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 0% | 70–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 66–86 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 177 | 3% | 97% | |
| 178 | 3% | 94% | |
| 179 | 5% | 92% | |
| 180 | 5% | 87% | Last Result |
| 181 | 7% | 82% | |
| 182 | 9% | 75% | |
| 183 | 8% | 66% | |
| 184 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 185 | 9% | 49% | |
| 186 | 8% | 39% | |
| 187 | 6% | 31% | |
| 188 | 7% | 25% | |
| 189 | 5% | 18% | |
| 190 | 4% | 14% | |
| 191 | 3% | 10% | |
| 192 | 2% | 7% | |
| 193 | 2% | 5% | |
| 194 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 197 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 154 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 155 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 156 | 2% | 97% | |
| 157 | 3% | 95% | |
| 158 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 87% | |
| 160 | 7% | 82% | |
| 161 | 8% | 75% | |
| 162 | 9% | 66% | |
| 163 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 164 | 9% | 48% | |
| 165 | 8% | 39% | |
| 166 | 8% | 31% | |
| 167 | 6% | 23% | |
| 168 | 5% | 17% | |
| 169 | 4% | 12% | |
| 170 | 3% | 9% | |
| 171 | 2% | 6% | |
| 172 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 174 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 2% | 92% | |
| 78 | 4% | 90% | |
| 79 | 4% | 86% | |
| 80 | 6% | 82% | |
| 81 | 7% | 77% | |
| 82 | 9% | 70% | |
| 83 | 8% | 61% | |
| 84 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 85 | 9% | 44% | |
| 86 | 8% | 34% | |
| 87 | 7% | 26% | |
| 88 | 6% | 19% | |
| 89 | 5% | 13% | |
| 90 | 4% | 9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 6% | 89% | |
| 72 | 8% | 83% | |
| 73 | 9% | 75% | |
| 74 | 9% | 66% | |
| 75 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 47% | |
| 77 | 8% | 35% | |
| 78 | 7% | 27% | |
| 79 | 7% | 21% | |
| 80 | 5% | 14% | |
| 81 | 3% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Τα Νέα
- Fieldwork period: 1–2 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%