Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 7–10 July 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 42.8% 40.8–44.8% 40.2–45.4% 39.8–45.9% 38.8–46.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.5% 26.7–30.4% 26.2–30.9% 25.8–31.4% 25.0–32.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–170 157–171 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 71–81 70–83 69–84 66–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–25 17–25 16–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 13–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.3% 99.4%  
155 1.2% 99.1%  
156 2% 98%  
157 3% 96%  
158 2% 93% Last Result
159 4% 91%  
160 8% 87%  
161 7% 79%  
162 6% 72%  
163 11% 65%  
164 12% 55% Median
165 8% 42%  
166 5% 34%  
167 9% 29%  
168 4% 20%  
169 3% 16%  
170 4% 12%  
171 4% 9%  
172 1.2% 5%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 1.2% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.6%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.4%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 4% 93%  
72 5% 89%  
73 8% 84%  
74 8% 76%  
75 13% 68%  
76 11% 56% Median
77 9% 45%  
78 12% 36%  
79 6% 24%  
80 6% 18%  
81 3% 12%  
82 3% 9%  
83 2% 5%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.7%  
17 6% 98%  
18 13% 91%  
19 16% 79%  
20 12% 63%  
21 7% 50% Median
22 17% 43% Last Result
23 11% 26%  
24 9% 15%  
25 4% 6%  
26 1.0% 1.5%  
27 0.1% 0.5%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.5%  
15 6% 98% Last Result
16 9% 92%  
17 11% 83%  
18 23% 72% Median
19 19% 49%  
20 9% 30%  
21 12% 21%  
22 6% 9%  
23 2% 3%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 0% 98.6%  
5 0% 98.6%  
6 0% 98.6%  
7 0% 98.6%  
8 1.0% 98.6%  
9 3% 98%  
10 13% 94% Last Result
11 32% 81% Median
12 25% 49%  
13 10% 24%  
14 7% 14%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 8% 87%  
9 24% 80% Last Result
10 25% 56% Median
11 16% 31%  
12 10% 15%  
13 3% 5%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 179–190 177–193 176–195 174–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 159–170 157–171 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–90 77–92 75–93 73–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 71–81 70–83 69–84 66–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.8%  
174 0.4% 99.6%  
175 0.9% 99.3%  
176 2% 98%  
177 2% 97%  
178 3% 95%  
179 3% 92%  
180 5% 89% Last Result
181 6% 84%  
182 8% 77%  
183 8% 69%  
184 10% 60%  
185 7% 51% Median
186 11% 44%  
187 7% 33%  
188 7% 27%  
189 5% 20%  
190 4% 14%  
191 2% 10%  
192 2% 8%  
193 2% 6%  
194 0.7% 4%  
195 2% 3%  
196 0.2% 1.4%  
197 0.8% 1.2%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.2% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.3% 99.4%  
155 1.2% 99.1%  
156 2% 98%  
157 3% 96%  
158 2% 93% Last Result
159 4% 91%  
160 8% 87%  
161 7% 79%  
162 6% 72%  
163 11% 65%  
164 12% 55% Median
165 8% 42%  
166 5% 34%  
167 9% 29%  
168 4% 20%  
169 3% 16%  
170 4% 12%  
171 4% 9%  
172 1.2% 5%  
173 1.4% 4%  
174 1.2% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.0%  
176 0.2% 0.6%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 1.4% 99.2%  
75 2% 98%  
76 0.6% 96%  
77 2% 95%  
78 2% 93%  
79 3% 91%  
80 4% 88%  
81 3% 84%  
82 4% 81%  
83 10% 77%  
84 8% 67%  
85 16% 59%  
86 3% 43% Median
87 11% 41%  
88 11% 30%  
89 5% 19%  
90 5% 15%  
91 3% 10%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.9% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.4%  
68 1.2% 99.0%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 4% 93%  
72 5% 89%  
73 8% 84%  
74 8% 76%  
75 13% 68%  
76 11% 56% Median
77 9% 45%  
78 12% 36%  
79 6% 24%  
80 6% 18%  
81 3% 12%  
82 3% 9%  
83 2% 5%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations