Opinion Poll by GPO for ANT1, 7–11 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 42.8% | 40.8–44.8% | 40.2–45.4% | 39.8–45.9% | 38.8–46.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 164 | 159–170 | 157–171 | 156–173 | 153–176 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 76 | 71–81 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 66–87 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 21 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–25 | 15–27 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 0–17 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 156 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 157 | 3% | 96% | |
| 158 | 4% | 94% | Last Result |
| 159 | 4% | 90% | |
| 160 | 6% | 86% | |
| 161 | 8% | 80% | |
| 162 | 8% | 72% | |
| 163 | 9% | 64% | |
| 164 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 165 | 10% | 46% | |
| 166 | 8% | 36% | |
| 167 | 7% | 28% | |
| 168 | 5% | 21% | |
| 169 | 5% | 16% | |
| 170 | 3% | 11% | |
| 171 | 3% | 7% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 88% | |
| 73 | 7% | 82% | |
| 74 | 9% | 75% | |
| 75 | 10% | 65% | |
| 76 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 45% | |
| 78 | 9% | 35% | |
| 79 | 7% | 26% | |
| 80 | 6% | 19% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 5% | 98% | |
| 18 | 9% | 93% | |
| 19 | 14% | 84% | |
| 20 | 18% | 70% | |
| 21 | 17% | 53% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 36% | Last Result |
| 23 | 10% | 21% | |
| 24 | 6% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 16 | 9% | 93% | |
| 17 | 14% | 84% | |
| 18 | 19% | 69% | |
| 19 | 17% | 50% | Median |
| 20 | 14% | 33% | |
| 21 | 10% | 19% | |
| 22 | 5% | 9% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 17% | 91% | Last Result |
| 11 | 23% | 74% | |
| 12 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 31% | |
| 14 | 10% | 16% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 0% | 87% | |
| 8 | 8% | 87% | |
| 9 | 24% | 79% | Last Result |
| 10 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 31% | |
| 12 | 9% | 14% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 185 | 100% | 179–191 | 178–192 | 176–194 | 174–197 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 164 | 99.9% | 159–170 | 157–171 | 156–173 | 153–176 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 85 | 0% | 79–90 | 77–92 | 75–93 | 72–96 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 76 | 0% | 71–81 | 70–83 | 69–84 | 66–87 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | 0% | 100% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 175 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 176 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 97% | |
| 178 | 3% | 95% | |
| 179 | 4% | 93% | |
| 180 | 5% | 89% | Last Result |
| 181 | 7% | 84% | |
| 182 | 8% | 77% | |
| 183 | 8% | 69% | |
| 184 | 9% | 61% | |
| 185 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 186 | 9% | 43% | |
| 187 | 8% | 34% | |
| 188 | 6% | 26% | |
| 189 | 6% | 20% | |
| 190 | 4% | 15% | |
| 191 | 3% | 10% | |
| 192 | 3% | 7% | |
| 193 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 194 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 196 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 199 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150 | 0% | 100% | |
| 151 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 154 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 155 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 156 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 157 | 3% | 96% | |
| 158 | 4% | 94% | Last Result |
| 159 | 4% | 90% | |
| 160 | 6% | 86% | |
| 161 | 8% | 80% | |
| 162 | 8% | 72% | |
| 163 | 9% | 64% | |
| 164 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 165 | 10% | 46% | |
| 166 | 8% | 36% | |
| 167 | 7% | 28% | |
| 168 | 5% | 21% | |
| 169 | 5% | 16% | |
| 170 | 3% | 11% | |
| 171 | 3% | 7% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 175 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 176 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 96% | |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 3% | 92% | |
| 80 | 5% | 89% | |
| 81 | 5% | 84% | |
| 82 | 6% | 79% | |
| 83 | 7% | 72% | |
| 84 | 9% | 65% | |
| 85 | 10% | 56% | |
| 86 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 87 | 9% | 37% | |
| 88 | 8% | 29% | |
| 89 | 6% | 21% | |
| 90 | 5% | 15% | |
| 91 | 4% | 10% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 88% | |
| 73 | 7% | 82% | |
| 74 | 9% | 75% | |
| 75 | 10% | 65% | |
| 76 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 45% | |
| 78 | 9% | 35% | |
| 79 | 7% | 26% | |
| 80 | 6% | 19% | |
| 81 | 4% | 13% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): ANT1
- Fieldwork period: 7–11 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.56%