Opinion Poll by Prorata, 7–11 July 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.3% 39.8–42.9% 39.4–43.3% 39.0–43.7% 38.3–44.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.3% 27.9–30.7% 27.5–31.1% 27.2–31.5% 26.5–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.4% 7.6–9.3% 7.4–9.6% 7.2–9.8% 6.8–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 2.9–4.4% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 161–171 159–173 158–175 157–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 78–87 77–88 76–89 74–91
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 24 21–26 21–27 20–28 19–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 13 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 9–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.7% 99.5%  
158 2% 98.8% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 3% 95%  
161 4% 92%  
162 7% 88%  
163 13% 81%  
164 7% 69%  
165 6% 62%  
166 12% 56% Median
167 12% 44%  
168 8% 32%  
169 5% 24%  
170 6% 19%  
171 4% 13%  
172 4% 9%  
173 2% 5%  
174 0.8% 4%  
175 0.9% 3%  
176 1.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 0.7%  
178 0% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.2% 0.2%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.8% 99.6%  
75 0.7% 98.8%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 96%  
78 5% 91%  
79 10% 86%  
80 7% 76%  
81 11% 69%  
82 11% 58% Median
83 11% 47%  
84 11% 36%  
85 5% 25%  
86 9% 20% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 3% 6%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.7% 1.1%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.2% 100%  
19 0.9% 99.8%  
20 3% 98.9%  
21 8% 95%  
22 14% 88% Last Result
23 23% 74%  
24 16% 51% Median
25 16% 34%  
26 10% 18%  
27 5% 8%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.6% 1.0%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 6% 98.8%  
12 16% 93%  
13 28% 77% Median
14 21% 49%  
15 18% 28% Last Result
16 7% 10%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 2% 93%  
9 27% 91%  
10 24% 64% Last Result, Median
11 26% 40%  
12 10% 14%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 6% 53% Median
9 28% 47% Last Result
10 14% 19%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.7% 0.7%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 184–195 183–197 182–199 179–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 166 100% 161–171 159–173 158–175 157–177
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 81–93 80–94 79–96 77–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 78–87 77–88 76–89 74–91

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0% 100%  
178 0.2% 99.9%  
179 0.4% 99.8%  
180 0.4% 99.3% Last Result
181 1.1% 99.0%  
182 2% 98%  
183 2% 96%  
184 4% 94%  
185 6% 90%  
186 8% 83%  
187 10% 75%  
188 7% 66%  
189 11% 59%  
190 9% 48% Median
191 6% 39%  
192 10% 34%  
193 5% 24%  
194 5% 19%  
195 4% 14%  
196 2% 10%  
197 2% 7%  
198 2% 5%  
199 0.8% 3%  
200 1.1% 2%  
201 0.5% 1.1%  
202 0.3% 0.7%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.7% 99.5%  
158 2% 98.8% Last Result
159 2% 97%  
160 3% 95%  
161 4% 92%  
162 7% 88%  
163 13% 81%  
164 7% 69%  
165 6% 62%  
166 12% 56% Median
167 12% 44%  
168 8% 32%  
169 5% 24%  
170 6% 19%  
171 4% 13%  
172 4% 9%  
173 2% 5%  
174 0.8% 4%  
175 0.9% 3%  
176 1.4% 2%  
177 0.3% 0.7%  
178 0% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0.2% 0.2%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.7% 99.6%  
78 1.3% 99.0%  
79 1.3% 98%  
80 2% 96%  
81 5% 94%  
82 5% 90%  
83 8% 85%  
84 6% 77%  
85 5% 71%  
86 11% 66%  
87 8% 56%  
88 10% 48%  
89 5% 37%  
90 7% 32% Median
91 6% 25%  
92 9% 19%  
93 4% 10%  
94 2% 6%  
95 1.4% 4% Last Result
96 1.5% 3%  
97 0.7% 1.2%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.8% 99.6%  
75 0.7% 98.8%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 96%  
78 5% 91%  
79 10% 86%  
80 7% 76%  
81 11% 69%  
82 11% 58% Median
83 11% 47%  
84 11% 36%  
85 5% 25%  
86 9% 20% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 3% 6%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.7% 1.1%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations