Opinion Poll by Interview for Βεργίνα TV, 9–12 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 43.1% | 41.1–45.1% | 40.5–45.7% | 40.1–46.2% | 39.1–47.2% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 167 | 162–172 | 160–174 | 159–175 | 156–178 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 60 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–68 | 52–70 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 27 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 22–32 | 20–33 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 0–17 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 159 | 2% | 98% | |
| 160 | 2% | 97% | |
| 161 | 4% | 94% | |
| 162 | 5% | 91% | |
| 163 | 6% | 86% | |
| 164 | 8% | 80% | |
| 165 | 9% | 72% | |
| 166 | 9% | 64% | |
| 167 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 168 | 9% | 45% | |
| 169 | 9% | 36% | |
| 170 | 8% | 28% | |
| 171 | 6% | 20% | |
| 172 | 5% | 14% | |
| 173 | 3% | 9% | |
| 174 | 2% | 6% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 92% | |
| 57 | 7% | 86% | |
| 58 | 9% | 79% | |
| 59 | 10% | 70% | |
| 60 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 48% | |
| 62 | 10% | 37% | |
| 63 | 9% | 27% | |
| 64 | 6% | 19% | |
| 65 | 5% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 23 | 7% | 94% | |
| 24 | 9% | 87% | |
| 25 | 13% | 78% | |
| 26 | 12% | 65% | |
| 27 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 39% | |
| 29 | 11% | 26% | |
| 30 | 6% | 15% | |
| 31 | 5% | 8% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 16 | 8% | 95% | |
| 17 | 13% | 88% | |
| 18 | 17% | 74% | |
| 19 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 15% | 39% | |
| 21 | 12% | 24% | |
| 22 | 7% | 12% | |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98% | |
| 13 | 10% | 94% | |
| 14 | 17% | 84% | |
| 15 | 20% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 18% | 47% | |
| 17 | 13% | 28% | |
| 18 | 8% | 15% | |
| 19 | 4% | 7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 8% | 97% | Last Result |
| 10 | 17% | 89% | |
| 11 | 21% | 72% | |
| 12 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 30% | |
| 14 | 8% | 15% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 194 | 100% | 188–199 | 187–201 | 186–202 | 183–205 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 167 | 100% | 162–172 | 160–174 | 159–175 | 156–178 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–80 | 61–82 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 60 | 0% | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–68 | 52–70 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 186 | 2% | 98% | |
| 187 | 3% | 96% | |
| 188 | 3% | 93% | |
| 189 | 5% | 90% | |
| 190 | 6% | 84% | |
| 191 | 8% | 78% | |
| 192 | 9% | 70% | |
| 193 | 9% | 61% | |
| 194 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 195 | 9% | 42% | |
| 196 | 8% | 33% | |
| 197 | 7% | 25% | |
| 198 | 6% | 18% | |
| 199 | 4% | 12% | |
| 200 | 3% | 8% | |
| 201 | 2% | 5% | |
| 202 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 208 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 156 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 158 | 0.9% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 159 | 2% | 98% | |
| 160 | 2% | 97% | |
| 161 | 4% | 94% | |
| 162 | 5% | 91% | |
| 163 | 6% | 86% | |
| 164 | 8% | 80% | |
| 165 | 9% | 72% | |
| 166 | 9% | 64% | |
| 167 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 168 | 9% | 45% | |
| 169 | 9% | 36% | |
| 170 | 8% | 28% | |
| 171 | 6% | 20% | |
| 172 | 5% | 14% | |
| 173 | 3% | 9% | |
| 174 | 2% | 6% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 177 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 178 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 180 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 92% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 8% | 81% | |
| 70 | 8% | 73% | |
| 71 | 10% | 65% | |
| 72 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 43% | |
| 74 | 9% | 35% | |
| 75 | 8% | 25% | |
| 76 | 6% | 18% | |
| 77 | 4% | 12% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 92% | |
| 57 | 7% | 86% | |
| 58 | 9% | 79% | |
| 59 | 10% | 70% | |
| 60 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 11% | 48% | |
| 62 | 10% | 37% | |
| 63 | 9% | 27% | |
| 64 | 6% | 19% | |
| 65 | 5% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Interview
- Commissioner(s): Βεργίνα TV
- Fieldwork period: 9–12 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.39%