Opinion Poll by Prorata for iEidiseis, 23–24 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.0% 38.5–41.5% 38.1–41.9% 37.8–42.3% 37.1–43.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 30.3% 28.9–31.7% 28.5–32.1% 28.2–32.4% 27.5–33.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.9–6.3% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–7.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.1–5.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 159–167 158–169 157–170 155–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 86 82–90 81–91 80–92 78–94
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 20–25 20–26 19–26 18–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0 0–8 0–9 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.3% 99.8%  
155 0.5% 99.6%  
156 1.1% 99.0%  
157 2% 98%  
158 3% 96% Last Result
159 5% 93%  
160 8% 88%  
161 10% 81%  
162 11% 71%  
163 12% 59% Median
164 11% 48%  
165 11% 36%  
166 9% 25%  
167 6% 16%  
168 5% 10%  
169 2% 5%  
170 2% 3%  
171 0.7% 1.3%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.6%  
79 1.2% 99.1%  
80 2% 98%  
81 4% 96%  
82 6% 92%  
83 9% 86%  
84 10% 77%  
85 13% 67%  
86 12% 54% Last Result, Median
87 13% 42%  
88 10% 29%  
89 7% 19%  
90 6% 12%  
91 3% 6%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.8% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.9% 99.8%  
19 3% 98.9%  
20 9% 96%  
21 16% 87%  
22 22% 70% Last Result, Median
23 20% 48%  
24 16% 28%  
25 8% 13%  
26 4% 5%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.9%  
13 6% 98.7%  
14 15% 93%  
15 24% 78% Last Result
16 24% 54% Median
17 17% 30%  
18 8% 12%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 9% 98% Last Result
11 22% 89%  
12 29% 66% Median
13 23% 37%  
14 11% 15%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.0%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 2% 7%  
9 4% 5% Last Result
10 0.7% 0.8%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–190 180–191 179–192 177–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 100% 159–167 158–169 157–170 155–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 82–91 81–92 80–93 79–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 86 0% 82–90 81–91 80–92 78–94

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.4% 99.6%  
178 0.9% 99.2%  
179 2% 98%  
180 3% 97% Last Result
181 4% 94%  
182 5% 90%  
183 9% 84%  
184 10% 76%  
185 12% 66% Median
186 13% 54%  
187 10% 41%  
188 9% 31%  
189 8% 22%  
190 6% 13%  
191 3% 7%  
192 2% 4%  
193 1.1% 2%  
194 0.5% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0.1% 100%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.3% 99.8%  
155 0.5% 99.6%  
156 1.1% 99.0%  
157 2% 98%  
158 3% 96% Last Result
159 5% 93%  
160 8% 88%  
161 10% 81%  
162 11% 71%  
163 12% 59% Median
164 11% 48%  
165 11% 36%  
166 9% 25%  
167 6% 16%  
168 5% 10%  
169 2% 5%  
170 2% 3%  
171 0.7% 1.3%  
172 0.3% 0.6%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0.1% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.8% 99.5%  
80 2% 98.7%  
81 3% 97%  
82 5% 94%  
83 8% 89%  
84 9% 81%  
85 12% 72%  
86 12% 59% Median
87 13% 48%  
88 10% 35%  
89 7% 25%  
90 6% 17%  
91 4% 11%  
92 3% 7%  
93 1.4% 4%  
94 1.0% 2%  
95 0.7% 1.4% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.5% 99.6%  
79 1.2% 99.1%  
80 2% 98%  
81 4% 96%  
82 6% 92%  
83 9% 86%  
84 10% 77%  
85 13% 67%  
86 12% 54% Last Result, Median
87 13% 42%  
88 10% 29%  
89 7% 19%  
90 6% 12%  
91 3% 6%  
92 2% 3%  
93 0.8% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations