Opinion Poll by GPO for Τα Νέα, 20–25 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.2% 38.2–42.2% 37.7–42.8% 37.2–43.3% 36.3–44.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.4% 26.6–30.3% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.3% 24.8–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 155–165 153–167 152–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 73–83 72–84 70–86 68–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–25 17–25 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–26
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 10–17 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.9%  
149 0.4% 99.7%  
150 0.7% 99.3%  
151 1.1% 98.6% Majority
152 2% 98%  
153 2% 96%  
154 3% 94%  
155 4% 91%  
156 5% 87%  
157 6% 82%  
158 9% 76% Last Result
159 9% 67%  
160 11% 58% Median
161 10% 48%  
162 9% 38%  
163 8% 28%  
164 6% 20%  
165 5% 14%  
166 3% 10%  
167 2% 6%  
168 1.4% 4%  
169 1.1% 3%  
170 0.7% 2%  
171 0.4% 1.1%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 0.7% 99.3%  
70 1.4% 98.5%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 5% 92%  
74 7% 87%  
75 8% 80%  
76 9% 72%  
77 11% 62%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 9% 40%  
80 7% 31%  
81 8% 24%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.1% 3% Last Result
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.3%  
17 5% 98%  
18 9% 93%  
19 15% 83%  
20 15% 69%  
21 18% 54% Median
22 15% 36% Last Result
23 10% 21%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 6%  
26 1.4% 2%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.8%  
15 2% 99.1% Last Result
16 6% 97%  
17 12% 91%  
18 14% 79%  
19 18% 65% Median
20 19% 47%  
21 12% 28%  
22 8% 16%  
23 4% 8%  
24 2% 4%  
25 1.1% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 5% 98.7% Last Result
11 8% 94%  
12 13% 86%  
13 26% 73% Median
14 25% 47%  
15 9% 22%  
16 6% 12%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 6% 84%  
9 24% 78% Last Result
10 24% 54% Median
11 16% 30%  
12 9% 14%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.1% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 175–186 174–188 172–190 170–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 98.6% 155–165 153–167 152–169 149–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0% 81–92 78–94 77–95 73–98
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 73–83 72–84 70–86 68–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0.1% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.5% 99.5%  
171 0.8% 99.0%  
172 1.2% 98%  
173 2% 97%  
174 2% 95%  
175 3% 93%  
176 5% 89%  
177 5% 85%  
178 8% 80%  
179 9% 72%  
180 8% 63% Last Result
181 13% 56% Median
182 9% 43%  
183 7% 35%  
184 8% 27%  
185 6% 20%  
186 4% 14%  
187 3% 10%  
188 2% 7%  
189 1.5% 5%  
190 1.0% 3%  
191 0.7% 2%  
192 0.7% 1.4%  
193 0.2% 0.7%  
194 0.2% 0.5%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.9%  
149 0.4% 99.7%  
150 0.7% 99.3%  
151 1.1% 98.6% Majority
152 2% 98%  
153 2% 96%  
154 3% 94%  
155 4% 91%  
156 5% 87%  
157 6% 82%  
158 9% 76% Last Result
159 9% 67%  
160 11% 58% Median
161 10% 48%  
162 9% 38%  
163 8% 28%  
164 6% 20%  
165 5% 14%  
166 3% 10%  
167 2% 6%  
168 1.4% 4%  
169 1.1% 3%  
170 0.7% 2%  
171 0.4% 1.1%  
172 0.2% 0.7%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 99.5%  
75 0.6% 99.2%  
76 0.7% 98.6%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 2% 95%  
80 3% 93%  
81 4% 90%  
82 5% 86%  
83 6% 81%  
84 7% 75%  
85 8% 68%  
86 10% 60%  
87 11% 50%  
88 9% 39% Median
89 7% 30%  
90 7% 23%  
91 5% 16%  
92 4% 11%  
93 2% 7%  
94 2% 5%  
95 1.2% 3% Last Result
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 0.7% 99.3%  
70 1.4% 98.5%  
71 2% 97%  
72 3% 95%  
73 5% 92%  
74 7% 87%  
75 8% 80%  
76 9% 72%  
77 11% 62%  
78 12% 52% Median
79 9% 40%  
80 7% 31%  
81 8% 24%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 8%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.1% 3% Last Result
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations