Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 23–27 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 39.7% 38.0–41.4% 37.5–41.9% 37.1–42.4% 36.3–43.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.4% 23.9–27.0% 23.5–27.5% 23.2–27.9% 22.5–28.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.3% 5.8–8.5% 5.4–9.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.2% 4.9–7.5% 4.5–7.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.7–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.3% 3.7–5.1% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.0–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 158–168 157–169 156–170 154–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–76 67–78 66–79 64–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 20 18–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–15 10–15 10–16 9–17

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.5% 99.5%  
155 1.1% 99.0%  
156 2% 98%  
157 3% 96%  
158 4% 93% Last Result
159 6% 89%  
160 8% 82%  
161 10% 74%  
162 11% 65%  
163 11% 54% Median
164 10% 43%  
165 9% 32%  
166 7% 23%  
167 6% 16%  
168 4% 11%  
169 3% 7%  
170 2% 4%  
171 1.0% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.0%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.6% 99.4%  
66 2% 98.8%  
67 5% 97%  
68 7% 92%  
69 8% 85%  
70 7% 77%  
71 6% 70%  
72 8% 65%  
73 12% 57% Median
74 17% 44%  
75 13% 28%  
76 7% 15%  
77 3% 8%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 1.4% 4%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.2%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.3%  
17 6% 97%  
18 12% 91%  
19 18% 79%  
20 20% 61% Median
21 17% 41%  
22 12% 24% Last Result
23 7% 12%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.2% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.8%  
14 4% 98.7%  
15 10% 94% Last Result
16 17% 84%  
17 21% 67% Median
18 19% 45%  
19 14% 26%  
20 7% 12%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.7%  
12 7% 98%  
13 14% 91%  
14 22% 77%  
15 22% 55% Median
16 17% 33%  
17 10% 16%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 2% 99.6% Last Result
10 8% 98%  
11 19% 89%  
12 24% 71% Median
13 23% 46%  
14 14% 24%  
15 7% 10%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 183 100% 178–188 177–189 176–190 174–192
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 163 100% 158–168 157–169 156–170 154–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 80–88 79–90 79–92 75–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–76 67–78 66–79 64–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.3% 99.8%  
174 0.5% 99.5%  
175 0.9% 99.0%  
176 2% 98%  
177 3% 96%  
178 4% 94%  
179 6% 90%  
180 8% 84% Last Result
181 11% 75%  
182 10% 64%  
183 11% 54% Median
184 10% 43%  
185 8% 33%  
186 7% 25%  
187 6% 18%  
188 5% 12%  
189 3% 7%  
190 2% 4%  
191 1.2% 2%  
192 0.6% 1.0%  
193 0.3% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0.1% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.8%  
154 0.5% 99.5%  
155 1.1% 99.0%  
156 2% 98%  
157 3% 96%  
158 4% 93% Last Result
159 6% 89%  
160 8% 82%  
161 10% 74%  
162 11% 65%  
163 11% 54% Median
164 10% 43%  
165 9% 32%  
166 7% 23%  
167 6% 16%  
168 4% 11%  
169 3% 7%  
170 2% 4%  
171 1.0% 2%  
172 0.5% 1.0%  
173 0.2% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.2% 99.5%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 1.4% 99.0%  
79 4% 98%  
80 8% 94%  
81 9% 86%  
82 7% 77%  
83 4% 70%  
84 4% 67%  
85 11% 63% Median
86 16% 52%  
87 16% 36%  
88 10% 19%  
89 4% 10%  
90 1.1% 6%  
91 1.1% 5%  
92 1.5% 4%  
93 1.2% 2%  
94 0.7% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.6% 99.4%  
66 2% 98.8%  
67 5% 97%  
68 7% 92%  
69 8% 85%  
70 7% 77%  
71 6% 70%  
72 8% 65%  
73 12% 57% Median
74 17% 44%  
75 13% 28%  
76 7% 15%  
77 3% 8%  
78 1.4% 5%  
79 1.4% 4%  
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.2%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations