Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Political, 2–7 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 44.6% 42.6–46.6% 42.0–47.2% 41.5–47.7% 40.6–48.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.9% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.3% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 162–172 160–174 159–175 157–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–75 65–77 64–78 62–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–25 17–25 16–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–16 8–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 8–14 8–14 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.4% 99.5%  
158 0.8% 99.1% Last Result
159 2% 98%  
160 3% 97%  
161 3% 94%  
162 4% 91%  
163 5% 87%  
164 8% 82%  
165 11% 74%  
166 11% 63%  
167 10% 53% Median
168 7% 43%  
169 8% 36%  
170 8% 28%  
171 7% 21%  
172 5% 13%  
173 3% 8%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.2% 4%  
176 0.9% 2%  
177 0.7% 1.4%  
178 0.4% 0.7%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.5%  
63 0.9% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 96%  
66 5% 92%  
67 6% 87%  
68 8% 82%  
69 11% 74%  
70 12% 63%  
71 11% 52% Median
72 9% 41%  
73 9% 32%  
74 8% 23%  
75 6% 15%  
76 3% 10%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.1% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.4% 99.9%  
16 1.4% 99.5%  
17 4% 98%  
18 9% 94%  
19 13% 85%  
20 17% 73%  
21 18% 56% Median
22 15% 38% Last Result
23 11% 23%  
24 7% 12%  
25 3% 6%  
26 1.5% 2%  
27 0.6% 1.0%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 10% 93%  
17 16% 83%  
18 19% 68% Median
19 18% 49%  
20 14% 31%  
21 9% 18%  
22 5% 9%  
23 2% 4%  
24 0.9% 1.3%  
25 0.3% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.9% 99.6%  
9 5% 98.7%  
10 14% 93% Last Result
11 19% 80%  
12 23% 61% Median
13 19% 38%  
14 11% 19%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 4% 98%  
9 13% 94% Last Result
10 21% 81%  
11 24% 60% Median
12 18% 36%  
13 10% 18%  
14 5% 7%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 183–193 181–195 180–196 177–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 167 100% 162–172 160–174 159–175 157–178
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 77–87 75–88 74–89 71–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–75 65–77 64–78 62–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.3% 99.7%  
178 0.5% 99.5%  
179 0.9% 98.9%  
180 2% 98% Last Result
181 2% 96%  
182 3% 94%  
183 5% 91%  
184 7% 86%  
185 8% 79%  
186 9% 72%  
187 10% 63%  
188 10% 53% Median
189 9% 43%  
190 8% 34%  
191 7% 26%  
192 5% 19%  
193 4% 13%  
194 4% 9%  
195 2% 6%  
196 1.4% 4%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.2%  
199 0.3% 0.7%  
200 0.2% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0.1% 100%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.4% 99.5%  
158 0.8% 99.1% Last Result
159 2% 98%  
160 3% 97%  
161 3% 94%  
162 4% 91%  
163 5% 87%  
164 8% 82%  
165 11% 74%  
166 11% 63%  
167 10% 53% Median
168 7% 43%  
169 8% 36%  
170 8% 28%  
171 7% 21%  
172 5% 13%  
173 3% 8%  
174 2% 5%  
175 1.2% 4%  
176 0.9% 2%  
177 0.7% 1.4%  
178 0.4% 0.7%  
179 0.2% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 0.3% 99.5%  
72 0.6% 99.2%  
73 1.0% 98.6%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 5% 91%  
78 6% 85%  
79 8% 79%  
80 10% 71%  
81 10% 61%  
82 9% 51% Median
83 10% 42%  
84 8% 31%  
85 7% 23%  
86 6% 16%  
87 4% 10%  
88 3% 6%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.5%  
63 0.9% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 96%  
66 5% 92%  
67 6% 87%  
68 8% 82%  
69 11% 74%  
70 12% 63%  
71 11% 52% Median
72 9% 41%  
73 9% 32%  
74 8% 23%  
75 6% 15%  
76 3% 10%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.1% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations