Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 13–17 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 39.1% 37.1–41.1% 36.6–41.7% 36.1–42.2% 35.2–43.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.4% 25.6–29.3% 25.1–29.8% 24.7–30.3% 23.9–31.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 153–165 152–167 151–168 148–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 71–82 70–83 69–84 66–87
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–26 19–27 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 14–23 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–15
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–9
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.2% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.6%  
149 0.6% 99.4%  
150 1.1% 98.8%  
151 2% 98% Majority
152 3% 96%  
153 3% 93%  
154 3% 90%  
155 5% 86%  
156 7% 81%  
157 10% 74%  
158 10% 64% Last Result
159 11% 55% Median
160 9% 44%  
161 8% 35%  
162 6% 27%  
163 7% 22%  
164 5% 15%  
165 2% 10%  
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.3%  
171 0.5% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.4%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 0.5% 99.4%  
68 0.9% 98.9%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 5% 93%  
72 7% 88%  
73 5% 82%  
74 8% 76%  
75 11% 69%  
76 8% 58%  
77 12% 50% Median
78 11% 39%  
79 7% 28%  
80 6% 21%  
81 4% 15%  
82 5% 11%  
83 3% 6%  
84 1.3% 4%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 99.7%  
18 3% 98.5%  
19 6% 96%  
20 9% 90%  
21 15% 81%  
22 19% 66% Last Result, Median
23 14% 47%  
24 12% 34%  
25 10% 22%  
26 7% 12%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.5% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.9%  
30 0.2% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.1%  
15 4% 97% Last Result
16 14% 93%  
17 9% 78%  
18 23% 69% Median
19 14% 46%  
20 15% 32%  
21 9% 16%  
22 3% 7%  
23 3% 4%  
24 0.6% 1.0%  
25 0.3% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
11 1.4% 99.5%  
12 6% 98%  
13 24% 92%  
14 21% 68% Median
15 17% 47%  
16 12% 30%  
17 6% 18%  
18 6% 12%  
19 4% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 3% 84%  
9 25% 81% Last Result
10 21% 56% Median
11 19% 35%  
12 11% 16%  
13 3% 5%  
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0% 1.0%  
5 0% 1.0%  
6 0% 1.0%  
7 0% 1.0%  
8 0.4% 1.0%  
9 0.6% 0.7%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 176–187 174–190 173–192 170–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 98% 153–165 152–167 151–168 148–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 79–91 77–92 75–93 71–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 71–82 70–83 69–84 66–87

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0.1% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.1% 99.8%  
170 0.2% 99.7%  
171 0.5% 99.5%  
172 1.0% 98.9%  
173 1.3% 98%  
174 3% 97%  
175 3% 93%  
176 3% 91%  
177 4% 87%  
178 5% 83%  
179 6% 78%  
180 10% 73% Last Result
181 12% 62% Median
182 12% 50%  
183 8% 38%  
184 5% 30%  
185 8% 25%  
186 4% 17%  
187 5% 13%  
188 2% 9%  
189 2% 7%  
190 1.1% 5%  
191 2% 4%  
192 1.3% 3%  
193 0.9% 1.5%  
194 0.4% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.2% 99.8%  
148 0.2% 99.6%  
149 0.6% 99.4%  
150 1.1% 98.8%  
151 2% 98% Majority
152 3% 96%  
153 3% 93%  
154 3% 90%  
155 5% 86%  
156 7% 81%  
157 10% 74%  
158 10% 64% Last Result
159 11% 55% Median
160 9% 44%  
161 8% 35%  
162 6% 27%  
163 7% 22%  
164 5% 15%  
165 2% 10%  
166 2% 8%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.4% 1.3%  
171 0.5% 0.9%  
172 0.3% 0.4%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 0.4% 99.4%  
73 0.5% 99.0%  
74 0.6% 98.5%  
75 0.6% 98%  
76 1.2% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 2% 94%  
79 3% 92%  
80 3% 89%  
81 5% 86%  
82 9% 81%  
83 7% 72%  
84 6% 65%  
85 8% 59%  
86 10% 50%  
87 13% 40% Median
88 5% 28%  
89 6% 23%  
90 5% 16%  
91 4% 11%  
92 3% 7%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.9% 2%  
95 0.8% 1.5% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.8%  
67 0.5% 99.4%  
68 0.9% 98.9%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 5% 93%  
72 7% 88%  
73 5% 82%  
74 8% 76%  
75 11% 69%  
76 8% 58%  
77 12% 50% Median
78 11% 39%  
79 7% 28%  
80 6% 21%  
81 4% 15%  
82 5% 11%  
83 3% 6%  
84 1.3% 4%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
87 0.4% 0.9%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations