Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 20–21 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.6% 38.6–42.6% 38.1–43.2% 37.6–43.7% 36.7–44.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.6% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.0% 25.9–31.5% 25.0–32.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 154–165 153–167 152–168 149–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 72–83 71–84 70–86 68–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 16–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 12–20 11–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–15 10–16 9–17 8–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 9–14 9–15 8–15 0–17
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.3% 99.8%  
150 0.7% 99.5%  
151 0.9% 98.7% Majority
152 2% 98%  
153 3% 96%  
154 4% 93%  
155 6% 89%  
156 7% 84%  
157 7% 76%  
158 13% 69% Last Result
159 8% 56% Median
160 10% 47%  
161 7% 38%  
162 6% 31%  
163 7% 25%  
164 5% 18%  
165 4% 13%  
166 3% 9%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.6% 1.4%  
171 0.4% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 1.3% 99.2%  
70 2% 98%  
71 3% 96%  
72 3% 93%  
73 4% 89%  
74 7% 85%  
75 6% 78%  
76 6% 72%  
77 7% 66%  
78 11% 59% Median
79 8% 48%  
80 13% 40%  
81 10% 27%  
82 6% 17%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.4% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 1.3%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 99.5%  
18 3% 98%  
19 8% 95%  
20 11% 87%  
21 17% 76%  
22 19% 59% Last Result, Median
23 13% 40%  
24 10% 27%  
25 8% 17%  
26 4% 9%  
27 3% 4%  
28 1.1% 2%  
29 0.4% 0.6%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 5% 97%  
14 12% 92%  
15 16% 81% Last Result
16 20% 64% Median
17 19% 44%  
18 11% 26%  
19 9% 15%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.5% 2%  
22 0.7% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.2% 99.7%  
9 3% 99.5%  
10 7% 96% Last Result
11 16% 89%  
12 24% 73% Median
13 17% 49%  
14 15% 32%  
15 10% 17%  
16 4% 7%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 7% 96% Last Result
10 16% 89%  
11 20% 72%  
12 26% 52% Median
13 11% 25%  
14 9% 14%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.5% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 177–187 175–189 174–191 172–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 98.7% 154–165 153–167 152–168 149–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 90 0% 84–94 82–96 81–97 78–100
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 72–83 71–84 70–86 68–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.7%  
172 0.6% 99.5%  
173 1.3% 98.9%  
174 2% 98%  
175 2% 96%  
176 3% 94%  
177 6% 90%  
178 8% 85%  
179 7% 77%  
180 11% 70% Last Result
181 10% 59% Median
182 10% 49%  
183 6% 39%  
184 8% 33%  
185 5% 25%  
186 8% 20%  
187 4% 13%  
188 2% 9%  
189 3% 7%  
190 1.4% 4%  
191 1.2% 3%  
192 0.6% 2%  
193 0.5% 0.9%  
194 0.2% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0.1% 99.9%  
149 0.3% 99.8%  
150 0.7% 99.5%  
151 0.9% 98.7% Majority
152 2% 98%  
153 3% 96%  
154 4% 93%  
155 6% 89%  
156 7% 84%  
157 7% 76%  
158 13% 69% Last Result
159 8% 56% Median
160 10% 47%  
161 7% 38%  
162 6% 31%  
163 7% 25%  
164 5% 18%  
165 4% 13%  
166 3% 9%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.6% 1.4%  
171 0.4% 0.7%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 1.0% 99.5%  
80 0.9% 98%  
81 1.3% 98%  
82 3% 96%  
83 3% 94%  
84 3% 90%  
85 5% 88%  
86 8% 82%  
87 6% 75%  
88 8% 69%  
89 9% 61%  
90 9% 52% Median
91 11% 43%  
92 12% 32%  
93 6% 21%  
94 5% 15%  
95 4% 10% Last Result
96 2% 6%  
97 2% 4%  
98 1.1% 2%  
99 0.4% 0.9%  
100 0.3% 0.5%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 1.3% 99.2%  
70 2% 98%  
71 3% 96%  
72 3% 93%  
73 4% 89%  
74 7% 85%  
75 6% 78%  
76 6% 72%  
77 7% 66%  
78 11% 59% Median
79 8% 48%  
80 13% 40%  
81 10% 27%  
82 6% 17%  
83 4% 11%  
84 3% 7%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.4% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 1.3%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations