Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 19–21 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 39.7% 38.3–41.1% 37.9–41.5% 37.6–41.9% 36.9–42.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.6% 26.4–28.9% 26.0–29.3% 25.7–29.6% 25.1–30.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.6–8.5% 6.4–8.7% 6.1–9.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 156–165 155–166 154–167 152–169
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 73–80 72–81 71–83 69–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 19–23 18–24 18–24 17–25
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 17–21 17–22 16–22 15–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.4% 99.8%  
153 0.8% 99.4%  
154 2% 98.6%  
155 3% 97%  
156 6% 93%  
157 9% 87%  
158 12% 79% Last Result
159 13% 67%  
160 13% 54% Median
161 11% 41%  
162 8% 31%  
163 7% 22%  
164 5% 16%  
165 4% 10%  
166 3% 7%  
167 2% 4%  
168 1.0% 2%  
169 0.6% 1.0%  
170 0.2% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.5%  
71 2% 98.8%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 93%  
74 10% 86%  
75 11% 77%  
76 16% 65% Median
77 11% 49%  
78 12% 38%  
79 10% 26%  
80 7% 16%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.4% 99.8%  
18 5% 98%  
19 14% 93%  
20 21% 80%  
21 24% 59% Median
22 19% 34% Last Result
23 10% 16%  
24 4% 6%  
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
16 3% 99.3%  
17 11% 96%  
18 18% 85%  
19 27% 68% Median
20 19% 41%  
21 15% 22%  
22 5% 7%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 5% 99.0%  
13 16% 94%  
14 26% 77%  
15 27% 51% Median
16 16% 24%  
17 7% 9%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 4% 87%  
9 30% 83% Last Result
10 33% 53% Median
11 15% 20%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 177–185 176–187 175–188 173–191
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 99.9% 156–165 155–166 154–167 152–169
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 80–89 79–91 77–91 75–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 73–80 72–81 71–83 69–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.2% 99.9%  
173 0.5% 99.7%  
174 1.3% 99.2%  
175 2% 98%  
176 4% 96%  
177 7% 92%  
178 9% 85%  
179 11% 76%  
180 13% 65% Last Result
181 11% 52% Median
182 11% 41%  
183 9% 30%  
184 6% 21%  
185 5% 15%  
186 3% 10%  
187 3% 7%  
188 2% 4%  
189 0.9% 2%  
190 0.8% 2%  
191 0.4% 0.8%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.4% 99.8%  
153 0.8% 99.4%  
154 2% 98.6%  
155 3% 97%  
156 6% 93%  
157 9% 87%  
158 12% 79% Last Result
159 13% 67%  
160 13% 54% Median
161 11% 41%  
162 8% 31%  
163 7% 22%  
164 5% 16%  
165 4% 10%  
166 3% 7%  
167 2% 4%  
168 1.0% 2%  
169 0.6% 1.0%  
170 0.2% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.6%  
76 1.0% 98.9%  
77 2% 98%  
78 1.0% 96%  
79 2% 95%  
80 4% 93%  
81 4% 89%  
82 5% 85%  
83 7% 81%  
84 12% 74%  
85 13% 62%  
86 11% 50% Median
87 10% 39%  
88 12% 28%  
89 8% 16%  
90 3% 8%  
91 3% 5%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.6% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.4% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.5%  
71 2% 98.8%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 93%  
74 10% 86%  
75 11% 77%  
76 16% 65% Median
77 11% 49%  
78 12% 38%  
79 10% 26%  
80 7% 16%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations