Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 20–24 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.3% 39.3–43.3% 38.8–43.9% 38.3–44.4% 37.3–45.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 157–169 155–170 154–172 151–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 74–85 73–87 72–88 70–91
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 8–14 0–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.8%  
151 0.3% 99.7% Majority
152 0.5% 99.4%  
153 1.0% 98.8%  
154 2% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 4% 94%  
157 5% 90%  
158 6% 85% Last Result
159 9% 80%  
160 7% 70%  
161 9% 63%  
162 11% 54% Median
163 7% 44%  
164 7% 37%  
165 5% 30%  
166 5% 24%  
167 5% 19%  
168 5% 15%  
169 3% 10%  
170 3% 7%  
171 2% 4%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.6% 1.5%  
174 0.4% 0.9%  
175 0.2% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 99.1%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 94%  
75 5% 90%  
76 6% 85%  
77 9% 79%  
78 9% 70%  
79 10% 61%  
80 10% 51% Median
81 9% 41%  
82 8% 32%  
83 6% 24%  
84 6% 18%  
85 3% 12%  
86 3% 8% Last Result
87 2% 5%  
88 1.5% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.1%  
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 1.2% 99.6% Last Result
16 3% 98%  
17 7% 95%  
18 12% 88%  
19 17% 76%  
20 19% 59% Median
21 15% 41%  
22 11% 25%  
23 7% 14%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.3%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.7%  
15 2% 99.0%  
16 7% 97%  
17 10% 90%  
18 14% 80%  
19 22% 66% Median
20 19% 44%  
21 11% 24%  
22 6% 13% Last Result
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.4%  
26 0.3% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 2% 97%  
9 12% 95%  
10 21% 83% Last Result
11 23% 62% Median
12 20% 40%  
13 12% 20%  
14 5% 8%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 1.0%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0% 79%  
4 0% 79%  
5 0% 79%  
6 0% 79%  
7 0% 79%  
8 7% 79%  
9 26% 72% Last Result, Median
10 23% 46%  
11 14% 23%  
12 6% 9%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.8% 1.0%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 176–188 174–189 173–191 170–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 99.7% 157–169 155–170 154–172 151–174
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0% 81–94 79–95 78–96 74–99
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 80 0% 74–85 73–87 72–88 70–91

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
167 0% 100%  
168 0.1% 99.9%  
169 0.2% 99.8%  
170 0.3% 99.6%  
171 0.6% 99.3%  
172 1.0% 98.7%  
173 2% 98%  
174 2% 96%  
175 3% 94%  
176 5% 91%  
177 6% 87%  
178 7% 80%  
179 9% 73%  
180 8% 64% Last Result
181 9% 56% Median
182 7% 47%  
183 7% 40%  
184 6% 33%  
185 6% 27%  
186 6% 22%  
187 5% 15%  
188 4% 11%  
189 3% 7%  
190 1.3% 4%  
191 0.9% 3%  
192 0.5% 2%  
193 0.5% 1.5%  
194 0.3% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.8%  
151 0.3% 99.7% Majority
152 0.5% 99.4%  
153 1.0% 98.8%  
154 2% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 4% 94%  
157 5% 90%  
158 6% 85% Last Result
159 9% 80%  
160 7% 70%  
161 9% 63%  
162 11% 54% Median
163 7% 44%  
164 7% 37%  
165 5% 30%  
166 5% 24%  
167 5% 19%  
168 5% 15%  
169 3% 10%  
170 3% 7%  
171 2% 4%  
172 1.2% 3%  
173 0.6% 1.5%  
174 0.4% 0.9%  
175 0.2% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.5% 99.1%  
77 0.9% 98.6%  
78 1.1% 98%  
79 2% 97%  
80 2% 95%  
81 3% 92%  
82 4% 89%  
83 4% 85%  
84 6% 81%  
85 7% 75%  
86 7% 68%  
87 8% 61%  
88 8% 52%  
89 10% 44% Median
90 8% 34%  
91 7% 26%  
92 5% 20%  
93 4% 14%  
94 3% 10%  
95 2% 7% Last Result
96 2% 4%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.5% 1.4%  
99 0.4% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 99.1%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 94%  
75 5% 90%  
76 6% 85%  
77 9% 79%  
78 9% 70%  
79 10% 61%  
80 10% 51% Median
81 9% 41%  
82 8% 32%  
83 6% 24%  
84 6% 18%  
85 3% 12%  
86 3% 8% Last Result
87 2% 5%  
88 1.5% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.5% 1.1%  
91 0.3% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations