Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 21–27 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.0% 39.2–42.8% 38.7–43.4% 38.2–43.8% 37.4–44.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.2% 24.6–27.8% 24.1–28.3% 23.7–28.7% 23.0–29.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.8% 6.0–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.5–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 4.0–7.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.2–6.8% 3.9–7.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 155–165 154–166 153–167 151–170
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 14–24
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 10–19

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 99.0%  
153 2% 98%  
154 3% 96%  
155 4% 93%  
156 6% 89%  
157 8% 83%  
158 9% 75% Last Result
159 10% 66%  
160 11% 56% Median
161 11% 45%  
162 9% 34%  
163 8% 25%  
164 6% 17%  
165 4% 11%  
166 3% 7%  
167 2% 4%  
168 1.1% 2%  
169 0.6% 1.2%  
170 0.3% 0.6%  
171 0.2% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.1% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 96%  
66 5% 93%  
67 8% 87%  
68 9% 79%  
69 11% 70%  
70 11% 59% Median
71 13% 48%  
72 10% 35%  
73 8% 26%  
74 7% 17%  
75 5% 11%  
76 3% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.6%  
18 4% 98%  
19 9% 94%  
20 14% 85%  
21 19% 71%  
22 19% 52% Last Result, Median
23 15% 34%  
24 10% 19%  
25 5% 9%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.0% 1.5%  
28 0.3% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.2% 99.7%  
15 4% 98.5% Last Result
16 9% 95%  
17 16% 85%  
18 20% 69% Median
19 19% 49%  
20 14% 30%  
21 9% 16%  
22 4% 7%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 6% 98%  
13 13% 92%  
14 21% 79%  
15 22% 59% Median
16 18% 36%  
17 11% 19%  
18 5% 8%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
11 3% 99.3%  
12 9% 96%  
13 17% 88%  
14 22% 71% Median
15 21% 49%  
16 15% 28%  
17 8% 13%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 182 100% 177–186 176–188 174–189 172–191
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 160 99.5% 155–165 154–166 153–167 151–170
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 81–90 80–91 78–92 76–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.2% 99.9%  
172 0.4% 99.7%  
173 0.7% 99.3%  
174 1.3% 98.6%  
175 2% 97%  
176 3% 95%  
177 5% 92%  
178 6% 87%  
179 7% 81%  
180 11% 73% Last Result
181 10% 63%  
182 11% 53% Median
183 10% 41%  
184 9% 31%  
185 7% 23%  
186 5% 15%  
187 4% 10%  
188 3% 6%  
189 2% 3%  
190 0.9% 2%  
191 0.5% 0.9%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 99.0%  
153 2% 98%  
154 3% 96%  
155 4% 93%  
156 6% 89%  
157 8% 83%  
158 9% 75% Last Result
159 10% 66%  
160 11% 56% Median
161 11% 45%  
162 9% 34%  
163 8% 25%  
164 6% 17%  
165 4% 11%  
166 3% 7%  
167 2% 4%  
168 1.1% 2%  
169 0.6% 1.2%  
170 0.3% 0.6%  
171 0.2% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.7%  
77 0.6% 99.4%  
78 1.4% 98.7%  
79 2% 97%  
80 4% 95%  
81 6% 91%  
82 8% 86%  
83 9% 78%  
84 11% 69%  
85 11% 58% Median
86 11% 47%  
87 10% 36%  
88 8% 26%  
89 6% 18%  
90 5% 12%  
91 3% 7%  
92 2% 4%  
93 1.1% 2%  
94 0.6% 1.1%  
95 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.1% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 96%  
66 5% 93%  
67 8% 87%  
68 9% 79%  
69 11% 70%  
70 11% 59% Median
71 13% 48%  
72 10% 35%  
73 8% 26%  
74 7% 17%  
75 5% 11%  
76 3% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations