Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 27–30 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 39.9% 38.0–41.8% 37.5–42.4% 37.1–42.8% 36.2–43.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.2% 25.6–29.0% 25.1–29.5% 24.7–29.9% 23.9–30.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.5–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.0–7.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 156–166 154–167 153–168 150–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 71–80 70–82 68–83 66–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 11–17 10–17 9–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–15 10–16 9–16 8–17

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 99.0%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 4% 94%  
156 6% 90%  
157 6% 84%  
158 8% 78% Last Result
159 9% 70%  
160 10% 61%  
161 9% 51% Median
162 10% 42%  
163 9% 31%  
164 6% 23%  
165 6% 17%  
166 4% 11%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.1% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.7% 99.4%  
68 1.3% 98.7%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 95%  
71 5% 92%  
72 8% 87%  
73 8% 79%  
74 10% 71%  
75 11% 61% Median
76 11% 49%  
77 10% 38%  
78 8% 28%  
79 7% 21%  
80 5% 14%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 1.1% 99.7%  
18 3% 98.6%  
19 6% 96%  
20 11% 89%  
21 16% 78%  
22 18% 62% Last Result, Median
23 16% 44%  
24 12% 28%  
25 8% 16%  
26 4% 8%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.8% 1.3%  
29 0.3% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.1%  
13 7% 96%  
14 15% 89%  
15 20% 73% Last Result
16 20% 53% Median
17 15% 33%  
18 10% 18%  
19 5% 8%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.7% 1.0%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0.6% 99.9%  
10 3% 99.3% Last Result
11 9% 96%  
12 18% 87%  
13 22% 70% Median
14 20% 48%  
15 14% 28%  
16 8% 13%  
17 4% 5%  
18 1.3% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.2% 99.6%  
9 3% 99.4% Last Result
10 9% 96%  
11 17% 87%  
12 23% 70% Median
13 20% 47%  
14 15% 28%  
15 8% 13%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 183 100% 178–188 176–189 175–191 172–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 99.5% 156–166 154–167 153–168 150–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0% 83–93 82–94 80–95 78–98
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 71–80 70–82 68–83 66–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0.1% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.3% 99.8%  
173 0.5% 99.5%  
174 1.0% 99.0%  
175 1.4% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 4% 94%  
178 5% 91%  
179 7% 86%  
180 8% 79% Last Result
181 9% 72%  
182 9% 63%  
183 10% 54% Median
184 10% 44%  
185 8% 34%  
186 7% 26%  
187 6% 18%  
188 4% 12%  
189 3% 8%  
190 2% 5%  
191 1.2% 3%  
192 0.6% 1.4%  
193 0.4% 0.8%  
194 0.2% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0.1% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.5% 99.5% Majority
152 1.0% 99.0%  
153 2% 98%  
154 2% 96%  
155 4% 94%  
156 6% 90%  
157 6% 84%  
158 8% 78% Last Result
159 9% 70%  
160 10% 61%  
161 9% 51% Median
162 10% 42%  
163 9% 31%  
164 6% 23%  
165 6% 17%  
166 4% 11%  
167 2% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 1.1% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.6%  
172 0.2% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.3% 99.6%  
79 0.7% 99.3%  
80 1.3% 98.6%  
81 2% 97%  
82 3% 95%  
83 4% 93%  
84 6% 88%  
85 8% 82%  
86 9% 74%  
87 10% 65% Median
88 11% 55%  
89 10% 44%  
90 9% 34%  
91 7% 25%  
92 6% 18%  
93 4% 12%  
94 3% 8%  
95 2% 4% Last Result
96 1.2% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.3%  
98 0.3% 0.7%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.7% 99.4%  
68 1.3% 98.7%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 95%  
71 5% 92%  
72 8% 87%  
73 8% 79%  
74 10% 71%  
75 11% 61% Median
76 11% 49%  
77 10% 38%  
78 8% 28%  
79 7% 21%  
80 5% 14%  
81 4% 9%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations