Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 5–12 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.7% 38.8–42.6% 38.3–43.1% 37.8–43.6% 37.0–44.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 31.1% 29.4–32.9% 28.9–33.4% 28.5–33.9% 27.7–34.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 5.9–10.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.2–6.9% 3.9–7.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 159–170 157–172 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 88 82–93 81–94 80–95 77–99
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 22 19–25 18–26 18–27 17–28
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–8 0–9 0–10 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.6% 99.4%  
155 0.9% 98.8%  
156 1.5% 98%  
157 2% 96%  
158 3% 94% Last Result
159 5% 91%  
160 6% 86%  
161 8% 80%  
162 9% 72%  
163 8% 63%  
164 9% 55% Median
165 9% 46%  
166 7% 37%  
167 7% 30%  
168 6% 23%  
169 5% 17%  
170 4% 12%  
171 3% 8%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.0% 3%  
174 1.0% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.3%  
176 0.3% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.4%  
79 1.0% 98.9%  
80 2% 98%  
81 3% 96%  
82 5% 93%  
83 6% 88%  
84 6% 82%  
85 7% 76%  
86 6% 69% Last Result
87 7% 63%  
88 8% 56% Median
89 10% 48%  
90 10% 38%  
91 10% 27%  
92 7% 17%  
93 5% 10%  
94 2% 6%  
95 1.2% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.2%  
98 0.3% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 1.3% 99.6%  
18 3% 98%  
19 7% 95%  
20 12% 88%  
21 17% 75%  
22 17% 59% Last Result, Median
23 15% 41%  
24 12% 26%  
25 7% 14%  
26 4% 7%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.8% 1.2%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.8%  
12 5% 98.6%  
13 11% 94%  
14 18% 83%  
15 21% 65% Last Result, Median
16 18% 44%  
17 12% 26%  
18 8% 14%  
19 3% 6%  
20 1.5% 2%  
21 0.6% 0.7%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 0% 89%  
4 0% 89%  
5 0% 89%  
6 0% 89%  
7 0% 89%  
8 1.1% 89%  
9 19% 88%  
10 25% 69% Last Result, Median
11 22% 44%  
12 13% 22%  
13 6% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 0% 13%  
7 0% 13%  
8 3% 13%  
9 7% 9% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–192 179–194 177–196 175–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 164 99.9% 159–170 157–172 156–173 153–176
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 89 0% 83–94 81–96 81–97 79–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 88 0% 82–93 81–94 80–95 77–99

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.2% 99.8%  
175 0.4% 99.6%  
176 0.7% 99.2%  
177 1.3% 98.5%  
178 1.3% 97%  
179 3% 96%  
180 3% 93% Last Result
181 5% 91%  
182 6% 86%  
183 8% 80%  
184 8% 72%  
185 9% 64%  
186 8% 55% Median
187 9% 47%  
188 7% 38%  
189 8% 31%  
190 5% 23%  
191 5% 18%  
192 3% 13%  
193 3% 9%  
194 2% 6%  
195 2% 4%  
196 1.1% 3%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.1%  
199 0.3% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0.1% 99.9% Majority
152 0.2% 99.9%  
153 0.3% 99.7%  
154 0.6% 99.4%  
155 0.9% 98.8%  
156 1.5% 98%  
157 2% 96%  
158 3% 94% Last Result
159 5% 91%  
160 6% 86%  
161 8% 80%  
162 9% 72%  
163 8% 63%  
164 9% 55% Median
165 9% 46%  
166 7% 37%  
167 7% 30%  
168 6% 23%  
169 5% 17%  
170 4% 12%  
171 3% 8%  
172 2% 6%  
173 1.0% 3%  
174 1.0% 2%  
175 0.6% 1.3%  
176 0.3% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.6%  
80 1.4% 98.9%  
81 3% 98%  
82 4% 95%  
83 5% 91%  
84 5% 86%  
85 5% 81%  
86 5% 76%  
87 6% 71%  
88 7% 65% Median
89 10% 58%  
90 10% 48%  
91 11% 37%  
92 8% 27%  
93 6% 19%  
94 4% 13%  
95 3% 9% Last Result
96 2% 6%  
97 1.4% 4%  
98 0.9% 2%  
99 0.5% 1.5%  
100 0.3% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.6%  
102 0.1% 0.4%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.4%  
79 1.0% 98.9%  
80 2% 98%  
81 3% 96%  
82 5% 93%  
83 6% 88%  
84 6% 82%  
85 7% 76%  
86 6% 69% Last Result
87 7% 63%  
88 8% 56% Median
89 10% 48%  
90 10% 38%  
91 10% 27%  
92 7% 17%  
93 5% 10%  
94 2% 6%  
95 1.2% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.2%  
98 0.3% 0.8%  
99 0.2% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations