Opinion Poll by Interview for Political, 11–14 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.0% 38.1–41.9% 37.6–42.4% 37.2–42.9% 36.3–43.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.3% 23.7–27.0% 23.2–27.5% 22.8–27.9% 22.1–28.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.6% 6.0–10.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.6% 4.2–6.9% 3.9–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 157–167 156–168 154–170 151–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–75 65–77 64–78 62–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 23 20–26 19–27 19–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–21 15–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 12–18 11–20 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 10–15 9–15 0–17
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–8

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.3% 99.8% Majority
152 0.3% 99.5%  
153 1.1% 99.2%  
154 1.3% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 5% 95%  
157 3% 90%  
158 9% 88% Last Result
159 6% 79%  
160 8% 73%  
161 12% 64%  
162 6% 52% Median
163 13% 46%  
164 7% 32%  
165 7% 25%  
166 7% 18%  
167 3% 11%  
168 4% 9%  
169 2% 5%  
170 1.1% 3%  
171 1.0% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.7%  
173 0.3% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.0% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 96%  
66 4% 93%  
67 7% 89%  
68 9% 82%  
69 11% 74%  
70 10% 63%  
71 11% 53% Median
72 10% 41%  
73 9% 32%  
74 7% 22%  
75 6% 15%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 1.5% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.5% 99.8%  
18 2% 99.3%  
19 4% 98%  
20 7% 94%  
21 12% 88%  
22 17% 76% Last Result
23 17% 59% Median
24 18% 42%  
25 11% 24%  
26 7% 13%  
27 4% 6%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.5% 0.7%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.8% 99.8%  
14 2% 99.0%  
15 6% 97% Last Result
16 11% 91%  
17 16% 79%  
18 20% 63% Median
19 17% 43%  
20 13% 26%  
21 7% 12%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.3% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.5%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.8%  
12 11% 97%  
13 24% 86%  
14 30% 62% Median
15 17% 31%  
16 7% 14%  
17 2% 8%  
18 1.5% 6%  
19 2% 5%  
20 1.5% 3%  
21 0.9% 1.2%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0.2% 99.3%  
9 4% 99.1% Last Result
10 14% 95%  
11 21% 81%  
12 25% 61% Median
13 18% 35%  
14 10% 17%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0% 0.7%  
5 0% 0.7%  
6 0% 0.7%  
7 0% 0.7%  
8 0.2% 0.7%  
9 0.4% 0.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 180–190 178–191 177–193 174–195
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 99.8% 157–167 156–168 154–170 151–172
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 78–87 77–89 75–90 73–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–75 65–77 64–78 62–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.3% 99.7%  
175 0.5% 99.4%  
176 1.1% 98.9%  
177 1.4% 98%  
178 2% 96%  
179 3% 94%  
180 4% 91% Last Result
181 7% 87%  
182 7% 80%  
183 10% 74%  
184 8% 64%  
185 12% 55% Median
186 9% 43%  
187 8% 34%  
188 7% 25%  
189 6% 18%  
190 5% 13%  
191 3% 8%  
192 2% 5%  
193 1.3% 3%  
194 0.8% 2%  
195 0.3% 0.7%  
196 0.2% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0% 100%  
150 0.1% 99.9%  
151 0.3% 99.8% Majority
152 0.3% 99.5%  
153 1.1% 99.2%  
154 1.3% 98%  
155 2% 97%  
156 5% 95%  
157 3% 90%  
158 9% 88% Last Result
159 6% 79%  
160 8% 73%  
161 12% 64%  
162 6% 52% Median
163 13% 46%  
164 7% 32%  
165 7% 25%  
166 7% 18%  
167 3% 11%  
168 4% 9%  
169 2% 5%  
170 1.1% 3%  
171 1.0% 2%  
172 0.3% 0.7%  
173 0.3% 0.5%  
174 0.1% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 99.2%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 3% 95%  
78 4% 92%  
79 7% 88%  
80 8% 81%  
81 10% 72%  
82 10% 63%  
83 12% 53% Median
84 8% 41%  
85 11% 33%  
86 6% 22%  
87 6% 16%  
88 3% 10%  
89 3% 6%  
90 1.4% 4%  
91 1.2% 2%  
92 0.6% 1.1%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.6%  
63 1.0% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 3% 96%  
66 4% 93%  
67 7% 89%  
68 9% 82%  
69 11% 74%  
70 10% 63%  
71 11% 53% Median
72 10% 41%  
73 9% 32%  
74 7% 22%  
75 6% 15%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 1.5% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations