Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Mononews, 13–19 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 43.7% 41.7–45.7% 41.1–46.3% 40.6–46.8% 39.7–47.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.3% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 163–176 162–177 160–179 158–181
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 70–80 68–81 67–82 65–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 21 18–24 17–25 16–25 15–27
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–21 15–22 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 11–16 11–17 10–18 9–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
159 0.6% 99.2%  
160 1.2% 98.5%  
161 2% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 4% 93%  
164 4% 89%  
165 4% 85%  
166 6% 81%  
167 8% 74%  
168 8% 67%  
169 7% 59%  
170 10% 52% Median
171 8% 42%  
172 7% 34%  
173 7% 27%  
174 5% 20%  
175 5% 15%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 4%  
179 1.2% 3%  
180 0.6% 1.3%  
181 0.3% 0.8%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 1.0% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 90%  
71 6% 85%  
72 8% 78%  
73 8% 70%  
74 9% 63%  
75 9% 53% Median
76 12% 44%  
77 10% 33%  
78 7% 23%  
79 5% 16%  
80 4% 11%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.5%  
85 0.3% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 2% 99.1%  
17 4% 97%  
18 10% 93%  
19 16% 83%  
20 15% 67%  
21 15% 52% Median
22 18% 37% Last Result
23 8% 19%  
24 5% 11%  
25 3% 6%  
26 1.5% 2%  
27 0.4% 0.8%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.7%  
14 4% 98.6%  
15 8% 95% Last Result
16 12% 88%  
17 18% 75%  
18 20% 57% Median
19 15% 38%  
20 10% 22%  
21 7% 13%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.4% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 2% 99.4% Last Result
11 8% 97%  
12 13% 89%  
13 22% 76%  
14 20% 55% Median
15 18% 35%  
16 9% 17%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 1.1%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Median
1 0% 36%  
2 0% 36%  
3 0% 36%  
4 0% 36%  
5 0% 36%  
6 0% 36%  
7 0% 36%  
8 8% 36%  
9 17% 28% Last Result
10 8% 11%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.7% 0.9%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 184–196 182–198 181–199 178–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 170 100% 163–176 162–177 160–179 158–181
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 78 0% 72–85 70–86 69–88 67–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 70–80 68–81 67–82 65–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0.1% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0.2% 99.6%  
179 0.7% 99.4%  
180 1.0% 98.7% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 2% 96%  
183 3% 95%  
184 4% 91%  
185 5% 87%  
186 4% 82%  
187 6% 78%  
188 8% 72%  
189 9% 65%  
190 6% 55%  
191 8% 49% Median
192 9% 41%  
193 7% 32%  
194 6% 25%  
195 4% 19%  
196 4% 14%  
197 4% 10%  
198 2% 6%  
199 2% 4%  
200 0.8% 2%  
201 0.8% 1.4%  
202 0.4% 0.6%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0.2% 99.8%  
158 0.4% 99.6% Last Result
159 0.6% 99.2%  
160 1.2% 98.5%  
161 2% 97%  
162 2% 96%  
163 4% 93%  
164 4% 89%  
165 4% 85%  
166 6% 81%  
167 8% 74%  
168 8% 67%  
169 7% 59%  
170 10% 52% Median
171 8% 42%  
172 7% 34%  
173 7% 27%  
174 5% 20%  
175 5% 15%  
176 3% 10%  
177 2% 7%  
178 2% 4%  
179 1.2% 3%  
180 0.6% 1.3%  
181 0.3% 0.8%  
182 0.2% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0.1% 0.1%  
185 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.5% 99.6%  
68 0.7% 99.1%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 3% 94%  
72 4% 91%  
73 5% 87%  
74 6% 82%  
75 7% 76% Median
76 9% 69%  
77 9% 60%  
78 7% 51%  
79 7% 44%  
80 7% 37%  
81 6% 30%  
82 5% 25%  
83 5% 19%  
84 4% 15%  
85 3% 11%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.6%  
66 1.0% 99.1%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 4% 94%  
70 5% 90%  
71 6% 85%  
72 8% 78%  
73 8% 70%  
74 9% 63%  
75 9% 53% Median
76 12% 44%  
77 10% 33%  
78 7% 23%  
79 5% 16%  
80 4% 11%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.5%  
85 0.3% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations