Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 22–25 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.1% 38.7–41.6% 38.3–42.0% 37.9–42.3% 37.3–43.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.3% 26.0–28.7% 25.7–29.0% 25.4–29.4% 24.8–30.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 9.3% 8.5–10.2% 8.2–10.5% 8.0–10.7% 7.7–11.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.6–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.0–5.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 3.0–4.1% 2.9–4.3% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 157–166 156–167 155–168 153–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 72–80 71–81 70–82 69–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 26 24–28 23–29 22–30 21–31
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 13–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.4% 99.8%  
154 0.8% 99.4%  
155 2% 98.6%  
156 3% 97%  
157 5% 94%  
158 7% 89% Last Result
159 10% 81%  
160 12% 72%  
161 13% 60% Median
162 12% 47%  
163 10% 35%  
164 8% 25%  
165 6% 16%  
166 4% 10%  
167 3% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.6% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 2% 98.8%  
71 3% 97%  
72 6% 94%  
73 9% 88%  
74 11% 79%  
75 14% 68%  
76 13% 54% Median
77 13% 41%  
78 10% 28%  
79 7% 18%  
80 5% 11%  
81 3% 6%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 3% 99.4% Last Result
23 6% 97%  
24 13% 90%  
25 21% 77%  
26 20% 56% Median
27 18% 36%  
28 11% 19%  
29 5% 8%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.6% 0.8%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 9% 97%  
15 20% 89% Last Result
16 26% 68% Median
17 22% 42%  
18 13% 20%  
19 5% 7%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.2% 99.6%  
9 5% 99.4%  
10 16% 95% Last Result
11 30% 79% Median
12 27% 49%  
13 16% 21%  
14 5% 6%  
15 1.1% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 4% 91%  
9 27% 87% Last Result
10 32% 61% Median
11 20% 29%  
12 7% 9%  
13 1.5% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–192 182–193 181–195 179–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 161 100% 157–166 156–167 155–168 153–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 81–89 79–90 77–91 74–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 72–80 71–81 70–82 69–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0.2% 99.9%  
179 0.4% 99.7%  
180 1.0% 99.3% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 3% 96%  
183 5% 93%  
184 8% 88%  
185 10% 80%  
186 13% 69%  
187 12% 57% Median
188 11% 45%  
189 11% 34%  
190 7% 23%  
191 5% 16%  
192 4% 11%  
193 3% 7%  
194 2% 5%  
195 1.1% 3%  
196 0.8% 2%  
197 0.4% 0.9%  
198 0.3% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100% Majority
152 0.1% 99.9%  
153 0.4% 99.8%  
154 0.8% 99.4%  
155 2% 98.6%  
156 3% 97%  
157 5% 94%  
158 7% 89% Last Result
159 10% 81%  
160 12% 72%  
161 13% 60% Median
162 12% 47%  
163 10% 35%  
164 8% 25%  
165 6% 16%  
166 4% 10%  
167 3% 6%  
168 2% 4%  
169 0.9% 2%  
170 0.6% 1.1%  
171 0.3% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.2%  
173 0.1% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 99.4%  
76 0.9% 98.9%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 1.5% 97%  
79 2% 95%  
80 3% 93%  
81 5% 90%  
82 6% 86%  
83 10% 80%  
84 11% 70%  
85 12% 59%  
86 13% 47% Median
87 11% 34%  
88 9% 23%  
89 6% 14%  
90 4% 8%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.5% 0.8%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.7% 99.6%  
70 2% 98.8%  
71 3% 97%  
72 6% 94%  
73 9% 88%  
74 11% 79%  
75 14% 68%  
76 13% 54% Median
77 13% 41%  
78 10% 28%  
79 7% 18%  
80 5% 11%  
81 3% 6%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations