Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 27–29 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 41.6% 39.6–43.6% 39.1–44.2% 38.6–44.7% 37.6–45.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.7–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 157–168 155–170 154–171 151–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 73–83 71–84 70–86 68–88
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 23 20–26 19–27 18–27 17–29
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–21 15–22 15–23 13–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.9%  
151 0.3% 99.7% Majority
152 0.6% 99.4%  
153 1.1% 98.8%  
154 2% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 4% 94%  
157 5% 90%  
158 6% 86% Last Result
159 7% 79%  
160 8% 72%  
161 10% 65%  
162 8% 55% Median
163 10% 47%  
164 7% 38%  
165 8% 30%  
166 6% 23%  
167 5% 17%  
168 3% 12%  
169 3% 9%  
170 2% 6%  
171 2% 4%  
172 0.7% 2%  
173 0.6% 2%  
174 0.3% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.6%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 1.0% 99.0%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 6% 90%  
74 9% 84%  
75 8% 75%  
76 9% 68%  
77 10% 59% Median
78 9% 49%  
79 9% 40%  
80 8% 31%  
81 7% 23%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 2% 7%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.1% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.9% 99.8%  
18 3% 98.9%  
19 6% 96%  
20 10% 91%  
21 14% 81%  
22 16% 67% Last Result
23 16% 51% Median
24 13% 35%  
25 10% 21%  
26 6% 11%  
27 3% 6%  
28 1.5% 2%  
29 0.6% 1.0%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 10% 93%  
17 16% 83%  
18 16% 67%  
19 18% 51% Median
20 14% 33%  
21 9% 18%  
22 5% 9%  
23 3% 4%  
24 1.1% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 10% 96%  
10 19% 86% Last Result
11 24% 67% Median
12 20% 43%  
13 13% 23%  
14 7% 10%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.8% 1.2%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100%  
1 0% 80%  
2 0% 80%  
3 0% 80%  
4 0% 80%  
5 0% 80%  
6 0% 80%  
7 0% 80%  
8 10% 80%  
9 27% 70% Last Result, Median
10 21% 43%  
11 13% 22%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 179–191 178–193 176–195 173–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 162 99.7% 157–168 155–170 154–171 151–175
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–91 78–93 76–94 72–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 73–83 71–84 70–86 68–88

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.2% 99.9%  
173 0.3% 99.7%  
174 0.4% 99.4%  
175 0.7% 99.0%  
176 1.0% 98%  
177 2% 97%  
178 3% 96%  
179 5% 92%  
180 7% 87% Last Result
181 7% 80%  
182 7% 74%  
183 6% 67%  
184 7% 61%  
185 9% 54% Median
186 9% 45%  
187 9% 36%  
188 6% 27%  
189 6% 21%  
190 5% 16%  
191 3% 11%  
192 2% 8%  
193 2% 6%  
194 1.3% 4%  
195 0.8% 3%  
196 0.6% 2%  
197 0.4% 1.1%  
198 0.3% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.2% 99.9%  
151 0.3% 99.7% Majority
152 0.6% 99.4%  
153 1.1% 98.8%  
154 2% 98%  
155 2% 96%  
156 4% 94%  
157 5% 90%  
158 6% 86% Last Result
159 7% 79%  
160 8% 72%  
161 10% 65%  
162 8% 55% Median
163 10% 47%  
164 7% 38%  
165 8% 30%  
166 6% 23%  
167 5% 17%  
168 3% 12%  
169 3% 9%  
170 2% 6%  
171 2% 4%  
172 0.7% 2%  
173 0.6% 2%  
174 0.3% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.6%  
176 0.1% 0.3%  
177 0.1% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 99.1%  
75 0.9% 98%  
76 1.0% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 3% 89%  
81 4% 85%  
82 6% 81%  
83 8% 76%  
84 10% 67%  
85 9% 57%  
86 8% 49% Median
87 6% 41%  
88 7% 35%  
89 7% 28%  
90 7% 21%  
91 6% 14%  
92 3% 9%  
93 2% 5%  
94 1.1% 3%  
95 0.7% 2% Last Result
96 0.5% 1.2%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.5%  
69 1.0% 99.0%  
70 2% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 6% 90%  
74 9% 84%  
75 8% 75%  
76 9% 68%  
77 10% 59% Median
78 9% 49%  
79 9% 40%  
80 8% 31%  
81 7% 23%  
82 5% 16%  
83 4% 11%  
84 2% 7%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.1% 3% Last Result
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations