Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 3–8 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.0% 38.5–41.5% 38.1–42.0% 37.7–42.4% 37.0–43.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.3% 25.0–27.7% 24.6–28.1% 24.3–28.4% 23.7–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 10.3% 9.4–11.3% 9.2–11.6% 9.0–11.9% 8.6–12.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–6.9% 4.9–7.1% 4.6–7.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 155–163 153–165 152–166 151–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 68–75 67–77 66–78 64–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 28 26–31 25–32 24–32 23–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.7% 99.5% Majority
152 1.4% 98.8%  
153 2% 97%  
154 4% 95%  
155 7% 91%  
156 9% 85%  
157 12% 76%  
158 10% 64% Last Result
159 11% 54% Median
160 10% 43%  
161 10% 33%  
162 8% 23%  
163 5% 15%  
164 3% 10%  
165 2% 7%  
166 2% 4%  
167 1.3% 2%  
168 0.7% 1.2%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.4%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 7% 92%  
69 9% 85%  
70 11% 77%  
71 13% 66%  
72 14% 53% Median
73 14% 39%  
74 9% 25%  
75 6% 16%  
76 4% 10%  
77 3% 6%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 1.3%  
80 0.3% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100% Last Result
23 0.6% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.3%  
25 6% 97%  
26 11% 91%  
27 17% 80%  
28 19% 63% Median
29 18% 44%  
30 12% 26%  
31 8% 14%  
32 4% 6%  
33 1.3% 2%  
34 0.5% 0.7%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.8%  
14 6% 98.6%  
15 14% 93% Last Result
16 22% 78%  
17 26% 56% Median
18 17% 31%  
19 9% 14%  
20 4% 5%  
21 1.0% 1.3%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.6% 100%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 10% 96%  
15 20% 86%  
16 26% 66% Median
17 21% 39%  
18 12% 19%  
19 5% 7%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 0% 85%  
2 0% 85%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0% 85%  
7 0% 85%  
8 9% 85%  
9 31% 76% Last Result, Median
10 29% 45%  
11 12% 17%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–192 181–194 181–196 179–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 159 99.5% 155–163 153–165 152–166 151–168
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 74–84 72–85 71–86 68–88
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 0% 68–75 67–77 66–78 64–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.3% 99.8%  
179 0.6% 99.5%  
180 1.4% 98.9% Last Result
181 3% 98%  
182 4% 95%  
183 6% 91%  
184 8% 85%  
185 11% 76%  
186 11% 66%  
187 12% 55% Median
188 9% 43%  
189 9% 34%  
190 7% 25%  
191 5% 18%  
192 4% 13%  
193 3% 9%  
194 2% 6%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.3% 3%  
197 0.7% 1.3%  
198 0.3% 0.6%  
199 0.2% 0.3%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
148 0% 100%  
149 0.1% 99.9%  
150 0.3% 99.8%  
151 0.7% 99.5% Majority
152 1.4% 98.8%  
153 2% 97%  
154 4% 95%  
155 7% 91%  
156 9% 85%  
157 12% 76%  
158 10% 64% Last Result
159 11% 54% Median
160 10% 43%  
161 10% 33%  
162 8% 23%  
163 5% 15%  
164 3% 10%  
165 2% 7%  
166 2% 4%  
167 1.3% 2%  
168 0.7% 1.2%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 0.7% 99.1%  
71 1.4% 98%  
72 3% 97%  
73 3% 94%  
74 2% 91%  
75 2% 89%  
76 4% 86%  
77 5% 82%  
78 8% 77%  
79 9% 69%  
80 12% 60%  
81 12% 48% Median
82 12% 37%  
83 9% 25%  
84 6% 16%  
85 5% 9%  
86 3% 5%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.0%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.4%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 7% 92%  
69 9% 85%  
70 11% 77%  
71 13% 66%  
72 14% 53% Median
73 14% 39%  
74 9% 25%  
75 6% 16%  
76 4% 10%  
77 3% 6%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 1.3%  
80 0.3% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations