Opinion Poll by MRB for Star, 12–17 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.2% 37.1–39.3% 36.8–39.6% 36.5–39.9% 36.0–40.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.6% 25.6–27.6% 25.3–27.9% 25.1–28.2% 24.7–28.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.0% 10.3–11.7% 10.1–11.9% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.6–5.6% 4.5–5.8% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 4.0–4.9% 3.8–5.0% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.2% 1.0–1.5% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.6% 0.8–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 152–157 151–158 150–159 149–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 70–75 69–76 69–77 67–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 28–32 28–33 27–33 27–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 15–18 15–18 14–19 14–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 13–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–15
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0.3% 99.9%  
149 0.9% 99.6%  
150 2% 98.8%  
151 5% 97% Majority
152 10% 91%  
153 14% 81%  
154 17% 67% Median
155 18% 50%  
156 14% 32%  
157 9% 18%  
158 5% 9% Last Result
159 2% 4%  
160 0.9% 1.2%  
161 0.3% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 1.4% 99.5%  
69 4% 98%  
70 6% 94%  
71 10% 88%  
72 18% 78%  
73 22% 60% Median
74 18% 38%  
75 11% 20%  
76 6% 9%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.7% 1.1%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 3% 99.5%  
28 10% 97%  
29 20% 87%  
30 28% 67% Median
31 22% 38%  
32 11% 16%  
33 4% 5%  
34 1.1% 1.3%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 2% 99.7%  
15 16% 97% Last Result
16 34% 81% Median
17 31% 47%  
18 12% 16%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.6% 100%  
12 8% 99.4%  
13 21% 92%  
14 40% 70% Median
15 22% 30%  
16 6% 7%  
17 1.2% 1.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100% Last Result
10 5% 99.8%  
11 26% 95%  
12 35% 69% Median
13 26% 34%  
14 7% 7%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 182–187 181–188 180–189 179–191
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 97% 152–157 151–158 150–159 149–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 82–88 81–88 81–89 79–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 70–75 69–76 69–77 67–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0.3% 99.9%  
179 0.8% 99.6%  
180 2% 98.8% Last Result
181 6% 97%  
182 9% 91%  
183 13% 82%  
184 18% 70% Median
185 18% 52%  
186 14% 34%  
187 10% 19%  
188 5% 10%  
189 3% 5%  
190 1.2% 2%  
191 0.4% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
147 0.1% 100%  
148 0.3% 99.9%  
149 0.9% 99.6%  
150 2% 98.8%  
151 5% 97% Majority
152 10% 91%  
153 14% 81%  
154 17% 67% Median
155 18% 50%  
156 14% 32%  
157 9% 18%  
158 5% 9% Last Result
159 2% 4%  
160 0.9% 1.2%  
161 0.3% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.5% 99.9%  
80 1.3% 99.3%  
81 4% 98%  
82 6% 94%  
83 12% 88%  
84 18% 76%  
85 20% 58% Median
86 15% 39%  
87 12% 24%  
88 7% 11%  
89 3% 4%  
90 1.1% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 1.4% 99.5%  
69 4% 98%  
70 6% 94%  
71 10% 88%  
72 18% 78%  
73 22% 60% Median
74 18% 38%  
75 11% 20%  
76 6% 9%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.7% 1.1%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations