Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 15–20 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.3% 36.4–40.3% 35.8–40.9% 35.3–41.4% 34.4–42.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.1% 25.3–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 149–160 148–162 146–164 144–166
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 69–79 68–80 66–82 64–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–34 26–35 25–36 24–38
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–21 14–21 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 11–17 10–18 9–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0–9
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 0.4% 99.5%  
145 0.8% 99.2%  
146 1.2% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 3% 95%  
149 4% 92%  
150 6% 89%  
151 7% 83% Majority
152 7% 75%  
153 10% 68%  
154 8% 58%  
155 9% 50% Median
156 11% 42%  
157 6% 31%  
158 4% 25% Last Result
159 6% 21%  
160 6% 15%  
161 3% 9%  
162 2% 6%  
163 1.1% 4%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 1.3% 2%  
166 0.5% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.5%  
168 0.2% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 98.9%  
67 2% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 5% 92%  
70 6% 87%  
71 8% 82%  
72 9% 74%  
73 10% 65%  
74 9% 55% Median
75 10% 45%  
76 7% 35%  
77 8% 28%  
78 6% 20%  
79 5% 14%  
80 4% 9%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100% Last Result
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 0.6% 99.7%  
25 2% 99.1%  
26 3% 97%  
27 7% 94%  
28 10% 87%  
29 16% 77%  
30 13% 61% Median
31 12% 48%  
32 11% 36%  
33 10% 25%  
34 6% 15%  
35 5% 9%  
36 2% 4%  
37 1.2% 2%  
38 0.5% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.4% 99.7%  
14 5% 98%  
15 7% 93% Last Result
16 15% 86%  
17 17% 71%  
18 21% 55% Median
19 13% 34%  
20 10% 21%  
21 6% 11%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.1% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.2% Last Result
11 11% 95%  
12 10% 84%  
13 26% 74% Median
14 14% 49%  
15 20% 35%  
16 7% 14%  
17 4% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 1.2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 4% 87%  
9 24% 83% Last Result
10 20% 59% Median
11 23% 39%  
12 8% 16%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.4% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0% 2%  
7 0% 2%  
8 1.0% 2%  
9 0.9% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.0%  
2 0% 1.0%  
3 0% 1.0%  
4 0% 1.0%  
5 0% 1.0%  
6 0% 1.0%  
7 0% 1.0%  
8 0.5% 1.0%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 100% 179–191 178–193 176–195 174–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 155 83% 149–160 148–162 146–164 144–166
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 77–89 75–90 74–92 70–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 69–79 68–80 66–82 64–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0.1% 100%  
172 0.2% 99.9%  
173 0.2% 99.7%  
174 0.4% 99.5%  
175 0.7% 99.1%  
176 0.9% 98%  
177 2% 97%  
178 2% 95%  
179 4% 93%  
180 4% 89% Last Result
181 7% 85%  
182 6% 78%  
183 8% 72%  
184 9% 65%  
185 9% 56% Median
186 11% 46%  
187 6% 35%  
188 6% 29%  
189 6% 23%  
190 3% 17%  
191 4% 13%  
192 3% 9%  
193 2% 7%  
194 2% 5%  
195 1.1% 3%  
196 0.8% 2%  
197 0.6% 1.3%  
198 0.4% 0.7%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 0.4% 99.5%  
145 0.8% 99.2%  
146 1.2% 98%  
147 2% 97%  
148 3% 95%  
149 4% 92%  
150 6% 89%  
151 7% 83% Majority
152 7% 75%  
153 10% 68%  
154 8% 58%  
155 9% 50% Median
156 11% 42%  
157 6% 31%  
158 4% 25% Last Result
159 6% 21%  
160 6% 15%  
161 3% 9%  
162 2% 6%  
163 1.1% 4%  
164 0.9% 3%  
165 1.3% 2%  
166 0.5% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.5%  
168 0.2% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.4%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 1.1% 98.8%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 4% 91%  
78 3% 88%  
79 6% 85%  
80 7% 79%  
81 8% 72%  
82 7% 63%  
83 8% 56%  
84 12% 48% Median
85 5% 36%  
86 5% 31%  
87 6% 26%  
88 7% 20%  
89 5% 14%  
90 4% 9%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.0% 3%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.5% 0.9%  
95 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.4%  
66 1.5% 98.9%  
67 2% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 5% 92%  
70 6% 87%  
71 8% 82%  
72 9% 74%  
73 10% 65%  
74 9% 55% Median
75 10% 45%  
76 7% 35%  
77 8% 28%  
78 6% 20%  
79 5% 14%  
80 4% 9%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.0%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations