Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 16–23 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.0% 38.4–41.6% 37.9–42.1% 37.5–42.5% 36.8–43.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.8% 23.4–26.3% 23.0–26.7% 22.7–27.1% 22.0–27.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.8% 11.7–13.9% 11.4–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.5–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.0–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.8–5.2% 3.6–5.4% 3.5–5.6% 3.2–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 156 152–160 151–161 150–162 148–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 62–70 61–71 60–72 58–74
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 34 31–37 30–38 30–39 28–40
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.8%  
148 0.6% 99.5%  
149 1.2% 98.9%  
150 2% 98%  
151 4% 95% Majority
152 6% 92%  
153 7% 85%  
154 10% 78%  
155 12% 68%  
156 12% 56% Median
157 11% 44%  
158 10% 32% Last Result
159 8% 22%  
160 6% 14%  
161 4% 8%  
162 2% 5%  
163 1.2% 2%  
164 0.7% 1.2%  
165 0.3% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.8% 99.5%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 3% 97%  
62 7% 94%  
63 8% 87%  
64 11% 79%  
65 14% 68%  
66 12% 54% Median
67 14% 42%  
68 8% 27%  
69 9% 19%  
70 5% 10%  
71 2% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 1.2%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.4%  
30 4% 98%  
31 8% 94%  
32 12% 86%  
33 17% 74%  
34 17% 58% Median
35 15% 40%  
36 11% 25%  
37 7% 14%  
38 4% 7%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.7% 1.0%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.3%  
15 9% 96% Last Result
16 18% 87%  
17 22% 69% Median
18 21% 47%  
19 15% 26%  
20 7% 11%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.8% 1.1%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 5% 99.1%  
13 12% 95%  
14 22% 82%  
15 25% 60% Median
16 19% 36%  
17 11% 17%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.4% 99.8%  
9 3% 99.5% Last Result
10 16% 96%  
11 26% 80%  
12 22% 55% Median
13 21% 33%  
14 9% 12%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 186–194 185–195 183–196 181–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 156 95% 152–160 151–161 150–162 148–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 78 0% 74–82 72–83 72–84 70–86
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 0% 62–70 61–71 60–72 58–74

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0.1% 100%  
180 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.3% 99.8%  
182 0.7% 99.5%  
183 1.4% 98.8%  
184 2% 97%  
185 4% 95%  
186 5% 91%  
187 9% 86%  
188 9% 77%  
189 13% 68%  
190 11% 55% Median
191 12% 44%  
192 10% 32%  
193 8% 23%  
194 6% 14%  
195 4% 9%  
196 2% 5%  
197 1.4% 2%  
198 0.6% 1.1%  
199 0.3% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.8%  
148 0.6% 99.5%  
149 1.2% 98.9%  
150 2% 98%  
151 4% 95% Majority
152 6% 92%  
153 7% 85%  
154 10% 78%  
155 12% 68%  
156 12% 56% Median
157 11% 44%  
158 10% 32% Last Result
159 8% 22%  
160 6% 14%  
161 4% 8%  
162 2% 5%  
163 1.2% 2%  
164 0.7% 1.2%  
165 0.3% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 99.1%  
72 3% 98%  
73 4% 95%  
74 6% 91%  
75 10% 85%  
76 12% 75%  
77 13% 64%  
78 12% 50% Median
79 10% 39%  
80 10% 28%  
81 7% 18%  
82 5% 10%  
83 3% 6%  
84 1.5% 3%  
85 0.9% 1.5%  
86 0.4% 0.6%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.8% 99.5%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 3% 97%  
62 7% 94%  
63 8% 87%  
64 11% 79%  
65 14% 68%  
66 12% 54% Median
67 14% 42%  
68 8% 27%  
69 9% 19%  
70 5% 10%  
71 2% 6%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.6% 1.2%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations