Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 22–25 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 40.4% 38.4–42.4% 37.9–43.0% 37.4–43.5% 36.5–44.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.8% 26.0–29.7% 25.5–30.2% 25.1–30.7% 24.3–31.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 158 153–164 151–166 150–167 148–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 70–80 68–81 67–83 65–86
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 27–34 26–35 25–35 23–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–21 14–22 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 9–14 8–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.8%  
148 0.5% 99.5%  
149 0.8% 99.1%  
150 1.4% 98%  
151 2% 97% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 6% 87%  
155 7% 81%  
156 9% 75%  
157 9% 66%  
158 10% 58% Last Result, Median
159 8% 48%  
160 8% 39%  
161 8% 31%  
162 6% 23%  
163 5% 18%  
164 4% 13%  
165 3% 9%  
166 2% 6%  
167 2% 4%  
168 0.8% 2%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 0.8% 99.2%  
67 1.3% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 3% 95%  
70 5% 92%  
71 7% 87%  
72 9% 80%  
73 9% 71%  
74 10% 62%  
75 10% 51% Median
76 10% 41%  
77 9% 31%  
78 7% 22%  
79 5% 15%  
80 3% 11%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.5% 1.0%  
86 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100% Last Result
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.5%  
25 3% 98%  
26 5% 96%  
27 9% 90%  
28 12% 82%  
29 15% 70%  
30 14% 55% Median
31 13% 41%  
32 10% 27%  
33 7% 18%  
34 5% 10%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.6% 1.1%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 5% 98%  
15 10% 92% Last Result
16 17% 82%  
17 18% 65% Median
18 18% 47%  
19 13% 29%  
20 8% 16%  
21 4% 7%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 2% 98%  
9 11% 96%  
10 20% 85% Last Result
11 24% 65% Median
12 19% 41%  
13 12% 22%  
14 6% 10%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.7% 1.0%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 8% 84%  
9 28% 77% Last Result, Median
10 22% 49%  
11 15% 26%  
12 7% 11%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.8% 1.1%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 183–194 181–196 180–198 177–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 158 97% 153–164 151–166 150–167 148–171
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 77–89 75–90 73–91 70–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 70–80 68–81 67–83 65–86

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.3% 99.7%  
178 0.5% 99.4%  
179 1.1% 98.9%  
180 1.5% 98% Last Result
181 2% 96%  
182 3% 94%  
183 4% 91%  
184 6% 87%  
185 7% 80%  
186 8% 73%  
187 9% 65%  
188 8% 56% Median
189 9% 48%  
190 7% 38%  
191 8% 31%  
192 6% 24%  
193 5% 18%  
194 3% 13%  
195 3% 10%  
196 2% 7%  
197 2% 5%  
198 1.2% 3%  
199 0.8% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.4%  
201 0.4% 0.9%  
202 0.2% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0.1% 100%  
146 0.1% 99.9%  
147 0.3% 99.8%  
148 0.5% 99.5%  
149 0.8% 99.1%  
150 1.4% 98%  
151 2% 97% Majority
152 3% 95%  
153 4% 92%  
154 6% 87%  
155 7% 81%  
156 9% 75%  
157 9% 66%  
158 10% 58% Last Result, Median
159 8% 48%  
160 8% 39%  
161 8% 31%  
162 6% 23%  
163 5% 18%  
164 4% 13%  
165 3% 9%  
166 2% 6%  
167 2% 4%  
168 0.8% 2%  
169 0.6% 2%  
170 0.5% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.5%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0.1% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.3%  
72 0.7% 98.7%  
73 0.8% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 94%  
77 3% 92%  
78 4% 89%  
79 5% 85%  
80 6% 80%  
81 7% 74%  
82 8% 67%  
83 10% 59%  
84 8% 49% Median
85 9% 40%  
86 9% 31%  
87 7% 22%  
88 5% 16%  
89 3% 11%  
90 3% 7%  
91 2% 4%  
92 1.1% 2%  
93 0.6% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 0.8% 99.2%  
67 1.3% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 3% 95%  
70 5% 92%  
71 7% 87%  
72 9% 80%  
73 9% 71%  
74 10% 62%  
75 10% 51% Median
76 10% 41%  
77 9% 31%  
78 7% 22%  
79 5% 15%  
80 3% 11%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.5% 1.0%  
86 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations